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综合性护理对斯德哥尔摩老年人急诊就诊率趋势的影响:一项中断时间序列分析。

Impact of integrated care on trends in the rate of emergency department visits among older persons in Stockholm County: an interrupted time series analysis.

机构信息

Global Public Health, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden

Aging Research Center, Karolinska, Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2020 Jun 3;10(6):e036182. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2019-036182.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between the implementation of an integrated care (IC) system in Norrtälje municipality and changes in trends of the rate of emergency department (ED) visits.

DESIGN

Interrupted time series analysis from 2000 to 2015.

SETTING

Stockholm County.

PARTICIPANTS

All inhabitants 65+ years in Stockholm County on 31 December of each study year.

INTERVENTION

IC was established by combining the funding, administration and delivery of health and social care for older persons in Norrtälje municipality, within Stockholm County.

OUTCOME

Rates of hospital-based ED visits.

RESULTS

IC was associated with a decrease in the rate of ED visits (incidence rate ratio: 0.997, 95% CI 0.995 to 0.998) among inhabitants 65+ years in Norrtälje. However, the rate of ED visits remained higher in Norrtälje than the rest of Stockholm in the preintervention and postintervention periods. Stratified analyses showed that IC was associated with a decline in the trend of the rate of ED visits among those 65-79 years, the lowest income group and born outside of Sweden. However, there was no significant decrease in the trend among those 80+ years.

CONCLUSION

The implementation of IC was associated with a modest change in the trend of ED visits in Norrtälje, though the rate of ED visits remained higher than in the rest of Stockholm. Changes in the composition of the population and contextual changes may have impacted our findings. Further research, using other outcome measures is needed to assess the impact of IC on healthcare utilisation.

摘要

目的

调查诺尔泰利耶市综合护理(IC)系统的实施与急诊就诊率趋势变化之间的关联。

设计

2000 年至 2015 年的中断时间序列分析。

设置

斯德哥尔摩县。

参与者

斯德哥尔摩县每年 12 月 31 日所有 65 岁以上的居民。

干预

通过整合诺尔泰利耶市老年人的资金、管理和医疗保健服务,在斯德哥尔摩县建立 IC。

结果

基于医院的急诊就诊率。

结果

IC 与诺尔泰利耶市 65 岁以上居民的急诊就诊率下降相关(发病率比:0.997,95%CI 0.995 至 0.998)。然而,在干预前和干预后期间,诺尔泰利耶的急诊就诊率仍高于斯德哥尔摩其他地区。分层分析表明,IC 与 65-79 岁、收入最低和出生在瑞典以外的人群的急诊就诊率趋势下降相关。然而,80 岁以上人群的趋势没有显著下降。

结论

尽管急诊就诊率仍高于斯德哥尔摩其他地区,但 IC 的实施与诺尔泰利耶急诊就诊率趋势的适度变化相关。人口构成的变化和背景变化可能影响了我们的研究结果。需要进一步使用其他结果衡量标准的研究来评估 IC 对医疗保健利用的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d435/7279653/2fcebd93361b/bmjopen-2019-036182f01.jpg

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