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时间权衡法概述:概念、基础,以及对健康价值评估中扭曲因素的评价。

An overview of the time trade-off method: concept, foundation, and the evaluation of distorting factors in putting a value on health.

机构信息

Theta Research , Zeist, The Netherlands.

Department of Epidemiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen , Groningen, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Expert Rev Pharmacoecon Outcomes Res. 2020 Aug;20(4):331-342. doi: 10.1080/14737167.2020.1779062. Epub 2020 Jun 17.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Preference-based instruments measuring health status express the value of specific health states in a single number. One method used is time trade-off (TTO). Health-status values are key elements in calculating quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and are pertinent for resource allocation. Since they are used in economic evaluations of healthcare, searching for a theoretical foundation of TTO in economics is justified.

AREA COVERED

This paper provides an overview of TTO, including its relation to economic theory, and discusses biases and distortions, compiled from recent and older research. Inconsistencies between TTO and random utility theory were detected; The TTO is confounded by time preferences and by respondents' life expectancies. TTO is cognitively challenging, therefore guidance during the interviews is needed, producing interview effects. TTO does not measure one thing at a time, nor are the values independent of other states that are being valued in the same task. That is, TTO does not exhibit theoretical measurement properties such as unidimensionality and the invariance principle.

EXPERT OPINION

We conclude that the TTO may be a pragmatic method of eliciting health state values, but the limitations in regard to measurement theory and practical elicitation problems makes it prone to inconsistencies and arbitrariness.

摘要

简介

偏好测量工具用一个数字来表示特定健康状况的价值。其中一种方法是时间权衡法(TTO)。健康状况值是计算质量调整生命年(QALY)的关键要素,与资源分配有关。由于它们被用于医疗保健的经济评估中,因此有理由在经济学中寻找 TTO 的理论基础。

涵盖领域

本文概述了 TTO,包括它与经济理论的关系,并讨论了从最近和较早的研究中收集到的偏差和扭曲。检测到 TTO 与随机效用理论之间的不一致;TTO 受到时间偏好和受访者预期寿命的影响。TTO 在认知上具有挑战性,因此需要在访谈过程中提供指导,产生访谈效应。TTO 不是一次测量一件事,也不是所评估的其他状态的值是独立的。也就是说,TTO 不具有理论测量属性,例如单一维度和不变性原则。

专家意见

我们的结论是,TTO 可能是一种实用的健康状况价值评估方法,但在测量理论和实际评估问题方面的局限性使得它容易出现不一致和任意性。

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