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显微镜结肠炎的全因和病因特异性死亡率:丹麦全国匹配队列研究。

All-cause and cause-specific mortality in microscopic colitis: a Danish nationwide matched cohort study.

机构信息

Department of Medical Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark.

Department of Gastroenterology, Zealand University Hospital, Køge, Denmark.

出版信息

Aliment Pharmacol Ther. 2020 Jul;52(2):319-328. doi: 10.1111/apt.15868. Epub 2020 Jun 25.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The long-term natural history of microscopic colitis remains uncertain.

AIM

To describe the mortality in a large unselected cohort of patients with microscopic colitis.

METHODS

All Danish patients above 18 years with an incident diagnosis of microscopic colitis from 2001 to 2018 were identified from nationwide registries and compared to age- and sex-matched controls (variable 1:10 ratio). Patients were categorised according to subtypes: lymphocytic colitis and collagenous colitis. The relative risk of death by any cause was analysed with Cox regression models estimating both crude and comorbidity-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Cause-specific death was evaluated with cumulative incidence functions. An E-value was calculated to address the impact of unmeasured confounding.

RESULTS

The final cohort consisted of 14 024 patients with microscopic colitis. The mean follow-up was 5.8 (standard deviation SD, 2.9) years and the mean age at diagnosis was 61.1 (SD 13.9) years, 70% were women and 41% were diagnosed with lymphocytic colitis. The main results showed a 25% increased risk of all-cause death in patients with microscopic colitis; however, the relative risk was attenuated to 9% when adjusting for comorbidities (95% CI, 1.05-1.14). The E-value indicates that unmeasured confounding could explain the residual observed increased all-cause mortality. Mortality was significantly increased in patients with both lymphocytic colitis (HR 1.15; 95% CI, 1.08-1.23) and collagenous colitis (HR 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01-1.12) in fully adjusted analyses. The absolute difference in death between patients with microscopic colitis and matches was 0.9% at 1 year, 2.8% at 5 years, 5.0% at 10 years and 3.0% at 15 years. Cumulative incidence functions showed that patients with microscopic colitis were more likely to die due to smoking-related diseases including ischemic heart and lung diseases, but had a significant decreased risk of death due to colorectal cancers (P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

In an unselected large nationwide cohort of patients with microscopic colitis, the risk of death was significantly increased compared to the background population. However, the increased mortality seemed to be associated to a high burden of comorbidities and unmeasured life-style factors including smoking and not microscopic colitis per se.

摘要

背景

显微镜下结肠炎的长期自然史仍不确定。

目的

描述大量未选择的显微镜下结肠炎患者的死亡率。

方法

从全国范围内的登记处确定了丹麦所有年龄在 18 岁以上、2001 年至 2018 年期间首次诊断为显微镜下结肠炎的患者,并与年龄和性别匹配的对照组进行比较(变量为 1:10 比例)。根据亚型对患者进行分类:淋巴细胞性结肠炎和胶原性结肠炎。使用 Cox 回归模型分析任何原因导致的死亡的相对风险,同时估计未经调整和合并症调整的危险比(HR)和 95%置信区间(CI)。使用累积发病率函数评估特定原因的死亡。计算 E 值以解决未测量混杂因素的影响。

结果

最终的队列包括 14024 名显微镜下结肠炎患者。中位随访时间为 5.8 年(标准差,2.9 年),诊断时的平均年龄为 61.1 岁(标准差 13.9 岁),70%为女性,41%被诊断为淋巴细胞性结肠炎。主要结果显示,显微镜下结肠炎患者的全因死亡风险增加了 25%;然而,在调整合并症后,相对风险降低至 9%(95%CI,1.05-1.14)。E 值表明,未测量的混杂因素可能会解释观察到的全因死亡率增加的残余部分。在完全调整的分析中,淋巴细胞性结肠炎(HR 1.15;95%CI,1.08-1.23)和胶原性结肠炎(HR 1.06;95%CI,1.01-1.12)患者的死亡率均显著增加。显微镜下结肠炎患者与匹配患者在 1 年时的死亡绝对差异为 0.9%,在 5 年时为 2.8%,在 10 年时为 5.0%,在 15 年时为 3.0%。累积发病率函数显示,显微镜下结肠炎患者因与吸烟有关的疾病(包括缺血性心脏病和肺部疾病)导致死亡的风险增加,但因结直肠癌导致死亡的风险显著降低(P<0.0001)。

结论

在一个未选择的、大型的全国性显微镜下结肠炎患者队列中,与普通人群相比,死亡风险显著增加。然而,这种增加的死亡率似乎与合并症负担较高以及未测量的生活方式因素有关,包括吸烟,而不是显微镜下结肠炎本身。

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