Hancock D D, Wikse S E
Department of Veterinary Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Washington State University College of Veterinary Medicine, Pullman.
Vet Clin North Am Food Anim Pract. 1988 Mar;4(1):1-15. doi: 10.1016/s0749-0720(15)31072-0.
The goal of outbreak investigation is the identification of the risk factors over which management has control; these factors are known as key determinants. The risk factor approach to disease causality is much more functional than simplistic theories such as agent causality. Many outbreaks, even of infectious disease, do not have simple microbiologic explanations. In the planning of an outbreak investigation, the most critical step is the identification of management procedures that have been found, by scientific studies, to influence risk of the type of disease present. During the investigation, specific disease data, rather than the client's impressions, should be collected so that temporal and risk group analyses may be performed. Performance evaluation should be conducted to determine the breadth of management systems involved and the duration of involvement. Management evaluation must be specific, comprehensive, and targeted by scientific studies, risk group and temporal analyses, physical examination, and laboratory diagnosis. The entire investigation--the planning, the data gathering, the sample collection--must be concentrated on identifying the ways in which management should be changed to restore equilibrium to a herd experiencing excessive losses due to disease.
疫情调查的目标是确定管理层能够控制的风险因素;这些因素被称为关键决定因素。疾病因果关系的风险因素方法比病原体因果关系等简单理论更具实用性。许多疫情,甚至是传染病疫情,都没有简单的微生物学解释。在疫情调查规划中,最关键的步骤是确定经科学研究发现会影响所出现疾病类型风险的管理程序。在调查过程中,应收集具体的疾病数据,而非客户的印象,以便进行时间和风险群体分析。应进行绩效评估,以确定所涉及管理系统的广度和参与时间。管理评估必须具体、全面,并以科学研究、风险群体和时间分析、体格检查及实验室诊断为依据。整个调查过程——规划、数据收集、样本采集——必须专注于确定应如何改变管理方式,以使因疾病遭受过度损失的畜群恢复平衡。