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数据科学在风险评估与早期预警中的应用。

Application of data science in risk assessment and early warning.

作者信息

Pavlidis Dimitrios E, Filter Matthias, Buschulte Anja

出版信息

EFSA J. 2019 Sep 17;17(Suppl 2):e170908. doi: 10.2903/j.efsa.2019.e170908. eCollection 2019 Sep.

Abstract

The food supply chain has been recognised by the EU as a critical infrastructure, and its complexity is the main cause of vulnerability. Depending on the food matrix, natural and/or deliberate contamination, food-borne diseases or even food fraud incidents may occur worldwide. Consequently, robust predictive models and/or software tools are needed to support decision-making and mitigating risks in an efficient and timely manner. In this frame, the fellow participated in data collection and analysis tasks, so as to provide additional predictive models. The working programme, covered a wide range of aspects related to risk assessment including identification of emerging risks (quantitative), microbiological risk assessment, authenticity assessment, spatio-temporal epidemiological modelling and database formation for hosting predictive microbial models. The training and close integration, in the open-source, in-house (German Federal Institute for Risk Assessment (BfR)) developed software tools under the framework of FoodRisk-Labs (https://foodrisklabs.bfr.bund.de.) for data analysis, predictive microbiology, quantitative microbiological risk assessment and automatic data retrieval purposes allowed for the independent use. Moreover, the fellow actively contributed to the update of the upcoming risk assessment, and also in authenticity assessment of edible oils. Over the course of the year, the fellow was closely involved in international and national research projects with experts in the above-mentioned disciplines. Lastly, he consolidated his acquired knowledge by presenting his scientific work to conferences, and BfR-internal meetings.

摘要

欧盟已将食品供应链视为关键基础设施,其复杂性是脆弱性的主要原因。根据食品基质的不同,全球范围内可能会发生自然和/或蓄意污染、食源性疾病甚至食品欺诈事件。因此,需要强大的预测模型和/或软件工具来支持决策并及时有效地降低风险。在此框架下,该研究员参与了数据收集和分析任务,以提供更多预测模型。工作计划涵盖了与风险评估相关的广泛方面,包括新兴风险识别(定量)、微生物风险评估、真实性评估、时空流行病学建模以及用于托管预测微生物模型的数据库形成。在FoodRisk-Labs(https://foodrisklabs.bfr.bund.de.)框架下,通过在开源的内部(德国联邦风险评估研究所(BfR))开发的软件工具进行培训和紧密整合,用于数据分析、预测微生物学、定量微生物风险评估和自动数据检索,实现了独立使用。此外,该研究员积极参与即将进行的风险评估更新工作,还参与了食用油的真实性评估。在这一年中,该研究员与上述学科的专家密切参与了国际和国内研究项目。最后,他通过在会议和BfR内部会议上展示自己的科研工作巩固了所学知识。

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本文引用的文献

1
Emerging risks identification on food and feed - EFSA.食品和饲料新出现风险的识别 - 欧洲食品安全局
EFSA J. 2018 Jul 26;16(7):e05359. doi: 10.2903/j.efsa.2018.5359. eCollection 2018 Jul.
9
A strategy to establish Food Safety Model Repositories.建立食品安全模型知识库的策略。
Int J Food Microbiol. 2015 Jul 2;204:81-90. doi: 10.1016/j.ijfoodmicro.2015.03.010. Epub 2015 Mar 16.

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