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中国道路交通事故成本分析。

Cost analysis of road traffic crashes in China.

机构信息

State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.

Tsinghua Automotive Strategy Research Institute, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot. 2020 Sep;27(3):385-391. doi: 10.1080/17457300.2020.1785507. Epub 2020 Jul 7.

DOI:10.1080/17457300.2020.1785507
PMID:32635801
Abstract

Fatalities and injuries resulting from road traffic crashes is always a serious problem. The overall economic losses caused by road traffic crashes are beyond imagination. Including the economic cost of property damage, productivity loss, medical cost, travel delay time cost, legal cost and insurance cost, the total economic cost of traffic crashes in China in 2017 is calculated as 490.1 billion yuan (72.6 billion USD 2017), which is equivalent to 0.60% of the GDP. The cost of productivity loss accounts for the highest proportion of total economic cost, which is 72%. The second is the travel delay cost, accounting for 12% insurance cost, property damage cost and medical cost are followed. The more serious the injury, the higher the unit economic cost. The unit cost of a crash that caused only property damage is 11,274 yuan. The unit cost of a minor injured crash is 20,223 yuan. The highest unit economic cost is the unit cost of a fatal crash, which is 3,181,394 yuan. This study provides important insights into the cost-benefit analysis of China's road safety policies.

摘要

道路交通事故导致的人员伤亡一直是一个严重的问题。道路交通事故造成的经济损失难以想象。包括财产损失、生产力损失、医疗费用、旅行延误时间成本、法律成本和保险成本在内,2017 年中国交通事故的总经济成本为 4901 亿元人民币(2017 年 726 亿美元),相当于 GDP 的 0.60%。生产力损失成本占总经济成本的比例最高,为 72%。其次是旅行延误成本,占 12%,保险成本、财产损失成本和医疗成本紧随其后。受伤越严重,单位经济成本越高。仅造成财产损失的事故的单位成本为 11274 元。轻伤事故的单位成本为 20223 元。最高的单位经济成本是致命事故的单位成本,为 3181394 元。本研究为中国道路安全政策的成本效益分析提供了重要的见解。

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