Centre for Health Economics Research and Evaluation (CHERE), University of Technology Sydney, Broadway, NSW, Australia.
Centre for Social Impact (CSI), University of New South Wales (UNSW), NSW, Australia.
Int J Lang Commun Disord. 2020 Sep;55(5):734-750. doi: 10.1111/1460-6984.12558. Epub 2020 Jul 20.
Childhood speech, language and communication needs (SLCN) impose a significant burden on individuals, families and society. There are explicit costs related to increased health utilization and expenditure. Additionally, there may be indirect costs associated with a child's employment prospects in the long term because of the child's low literacy and numeracy, which in turn affects adult labour force participation (LFP). Several reviews have identified that there is paucity of published evidence on the costs of SLCN. Motivated by broad policy implications, and the lack of prior research in this area, this paper calculates the indirect costs and workplace productivity losses of children with SLCN.
To estimate the indirect costs of SLCN associated with a child's reduced long-term productivity.
METHODS & PROCEDURES: Using 12 years of data from a longitudinal study of Australian children, we employed a panel fixed-effects model to estimate academic achievement at 14-15 years of age. Using these estimates, we employed a human capital approach (HCA) to estimate the projected LFP for children with SLCN, measured by workforce participation and foregone wages. LFP is estimated by extrapolating a child's academic achievement at 14-15 years of age to adulthood outcomes.
OUTCOMES & RESULTS: The results showed that a 1 SD (standard deviation) decrease in SLCN is equivalent to 0.19 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.09, 0.30) SD decrease in academic achievement at 14-15 years, 0.79% (95% CI = 0.37, 1.21) decrease in work participation and A$453 (95% CI = A$207, A$674) per annum in lost wages. The average work participation penalty across all level of SLCN (-3, -2, -1) is A$628 (95% CI = A$236, A$894) per person per year. Based on the prevalence of 8.3% from our sample, this equates to lifetime costs of A$21.677 billion (US$14.28 billion, €13.08 billion, £11.66 billion) for children with SLCN in Australia. Speech pathology treatment appears to have a positive impact on work participation and wages. On average A$355 (95% CI = A$346, A$355) per person per year could be saved through treatment or identification (the difference in lost wages for children with and without speech pathology treatment at each SLCN level (-1, -2 ,-3) calculated as a weighted average). This equates to lifetime savings of A$5.22 billion (US$3.44 billion, €3.15 billion, £2.81 billion) for children with SLCN in Australia.
CONCLUSIONS & IMPLICATIONS: Overall, the findings showed that SLCN are associated with increased indirect costs through reduced workforce participation. The evidence from this study can be used to inform policies on the societal costs of SLCN. What this paper adds What is already known on this subject Childhood SLCN impose significant burden on individuals, families and society. There are explicit costs related to increased health utilization and expenditure. Additionally, there may be indirect costs associated with a child's employment prospects in the long term because of the child's low literacy and numeracy, which in turn affects adult LFP. Several reviews have identified that there is paucity of published evidence on the costs of SLCN. Motivated by broad policy implications, and the lack of prior research in this area, this paper calculates the indirect costs and workplace productivity losses of children with SLCN. What this paper adds to existing knowledge This study estimates the academic achievement and indirect costs of SLCN associated with a child's reduced long-term productivity. Using 12 years of data from a longitudinal study of Australian children, we employed a panel fixed-effects model to estimate academic achievement at 14-15 years of age. Using these estimates, we used a human capital approach to estimate the projected LFP for children with SLCN, measured by workforce participation and foregone wages. LFP is estimated by extrapolating a child's academic achievement at 14-15 years of age to adulthood outcomes. What are the potential or actual clinical implications of this work? SLCN are associated with increased indirect costs through reduced workforce participation. The evidence from this study provides one of the first indirect cost estimates of how SLCN impacts LFP through educational achievement. Early identification, intervention and screening for SLCN may be useful offsets to reduce the economic effects identified here.
儿童言语、语言和沟通需求(SLCN)给个人、家庭和社会带来了重大负担。健康利用率和支出的增加带来了明确的成本。此外,由于儿童的低读写和计算能力,他们的长期就业前景可能存在间接成本,这反过来又会影响成年人的劳动力参与率(LFP)。几项综述发现,有关 SLCN 成本的发表证据很少。受广泛政策影响以及该领域缺乏先前研究的推动,本文计算了儿童 SLCN 的间接成本和工作场所生产力损失。
估计与儿童长期生产力降低相关的 SLCN 的间接成本。
使用澳大利亚儿童纵向研究 12 年的数据,我们采用面板固定效应模型来估计 14-15 岁时的学业成绩。利用这些估计值,我们采用人力资本方法(HCA)来估计 SLCN 儿童的预期 LFP,通过劳动力参与和错过的工资来衡量。LFP 通过将儿童在 14-15 岁时的学业成绩外推到成年期结果来估计。
结果表明,SLCN 降低 1 个标准差(SD)相当于 14-15 岁时学业成绩降低 0.19 个 SD(95%置信区间(CI)= 0.09,0.30),工作参与率降低 0.79%(95% CI = 0.37,1.21),错过的工资减少 A$453(95% CI = A$207,A$674)。所有 SLCN 水平(-3、-2、-1)的平均工作参与度惩罚为 A$628(95% CI = A$236,A$894)/人/年。根据我们样本的流行率 8.3%,这相当于澳大利亚 SLCN 儿童终生成本为 A$21.677 亿(US$14.28 亿,€13.08 亿,£11.66 亿)。言语病理学治疗似乎对工作参与和工资有积极影响。平均而言,通过治疗或识别可以节省 A$355(95% CI = A$346,A$355)/人/年(通过计算每个 SLCN 水平(-1、-2、-3)上有和没有言语病理学治疗的儿童之间的差异,作为加权平均值)。这相当于澳大利亚 SLCN 儿童终生节省 A$5.22 亿(US$3.44 亿,€3.15 亿,£2.81 亿)。
总体而言,研究结果表明,SLCN 通过降低劳动力参与率导致间接成本增加。本研究的结果可用于为 SLCN 的社会成本政策提供信息。
这篇论文增加了什么新的内容?
已经了解了这一主题的哪些内容?
儿童 SLCN 给个人、家庭和社会带来了重大负担。健康利用率和支出的增加带来了明确的成本。此外,由于儿童的低读写和计算能力,他们的长期就业前景可能存在间接成本,这反过来又会影响成年人的劳动力参与率(LFP)。几项综述发现,有关 SLCN 成本的发表证据很少。受广泛政策影响以及该领域缺乏先前研究的推动,本文计算了儿童 SLCN 的间接成本和工作场所生产力损失。
这篇论文增加了什么新的知识?
本研究估计了与儿童长期生产力降低相关的 SLCN 的学术成就和间接成本。使用澳大利亚儿童纵向研究 12 年的数据,我们采用面板固定效应模型来估计 14-15 岁时的学业成绩。利用这些估计值,我们采用人力资本方法来估计 SLCN 儿童的预期 LFP,通过劳动力参与和错过的工资来衡量。LFP 通过将儿童在 14-15 岁时的学业成绩外推到成年期结果来估计。
这些研究结果对临床实践有哪些潜在或实际影响?
SLCN 通过降低劳动力参与率导致间接成本增加。本研究的证据提供了第一个关于 SLCN 通过教育成就如何影响 LFP 的间接成本估计之一。早期识别、干预和筛查 SLCN 可能有助于减轻这里确定的经济影响。