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平缓新冠疫情曲线:德国接触限制措施对感染曲线的影响

Flattening the COVID-19 Curve: The Impact of Contact Restrictions on the Infection Curve in Germany.

作者信息

Valentowitsch Johann

机构信息

Betriebswirtschaftliches Institut, Universität Stuttgart, Stuttgart.

出版信息

Gesundheitswesen. 2020 Jul;82(7):646-648. doi: 10.1055/a-1194-4967. Epub 2020 Jul 22.

DOI:10.1055/a-1194-4967
PMID:32698209
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7416195/
Abstract

Although Germany is coping well with the coronavirus crisis, many voices are currently being raised that fundamentally question the success of the contact restriction strategy to contain the virus. I show in this study that there is no justification for such criticism. In fact, contact restrictions have flattened the infection curve and were possibly decisive for the good German performance in the crisis.

摘要

尽管德国在应对新冠病毒危机方面表现良好,但目前有许多声音从根本上质疑限制接触策略在遏制病毒方面的成效。我在本研究中表明,这种批评毫无道理。事实上,限制接触措施已使感染曲线趋于平缓,并且可能对德国在此次危机中的良好表现起到了决定性作用。

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[An Economic Policy Exit Strategy from the Corona Lockdown].[新冠疫情封锁下的经济政策退出策略]
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