Calvert William, Sampat Keerthika, Jones Matthew, Baillie Colin, Lamont Graham, Losty Paul D
Department of Paediatric Surgery, Alder Hey Children's NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.
University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Acta Paediatr. 2021 Feb;110(2):495-502. doi: 10.1111/apa.15510. Epub 2020 Oct 13.
Necrotising enterocolitis (NEC) is a disease associated with high mortality and morbidity, low birthweight and prematurity are risk factors. This study reports outcomes of babies having emergency laparotomy for NEC, examining institutional trends and exploring impact of multiple variables on mortality at 30 days and 1 year post-operatively.
Case records of babies with ICD coding for NEC were examined from 2000 to 2015. After exclusions, 243 cases were identified-confirmed by operative findings and histology. Cohort demographics and trends in mortality were investigated, and the relationship of common variables to mortality was modelled with univariate and multivariate logistic regression to generate a mortality prediction tool.
Mean gestational age was 28 + 4 weeks. A 30-day mortality was 18.9%. Gestation, birthweight and area of bowel affected were significant of outcome (mortality), and the presence of pre-operative pneumoperitoneum was strongly correlated. Year of surgery and congenital cardiac pathology requiring intervention were not significant. Using multivariate regression modelling, a mortality outcome prediction tool has been developed.
Good survival following operation for NEC (>70%) is feasible, even in those babies born extremely premature (<28 weeks) and post-operatively re-located to tertiary NICUs. With increasing gestational age (>32 weeks), mortality is uncommon.
坏死性小肠结肠炎(NEC)是一种死亡率和发病率都很高的疾病,低出生体重和早产是其危险因素。本研究报告了因NEC接受急诊剖腹手术的婴儿的治疗结果,研究机构内的趋势,并探讨多个变量对术后30天和1年死亡率的影响。
检查了2000年至2015年有NEC国际疾病分类编码的婴儿的病例记录。排除后,确定了243例病例——经手术结果和组织学证实。调查了队列人口统计学和死亡率趋势,并使用单变量和多变量逻辑回归对常见变量与死亡率的关系进行建模,以生成死亡率预测工具。
平均胎龄为28 + 4周。30天死亡率为18.9%。孕周、出生体重和受影响的肠段面积对结果(死亡率)有显著影响,术前气腹的存在与之密切相关。手术年份和需要干预的先天性心脏病变不显著。使用多变量回归建模,开发了一种死亡率结果预测工具。
即使是那些极早产(<28周)且术后转入三级新生儿重症监护病房的婴儿,NEC手术后良好的生存率(>70%)也是可行的。随着孕周增加(>32周),死亡率并不常见。