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伊朗的自残死亡率。

The mortality rate from self-harm in Iran.

机构信息

Department of Midwifery, Tuyserkan Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tuyserkan, Iran.

Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Sciences Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

出版信息

Public Health. 2020 Sep;186:44-51. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2020.06.015. Epub 2020 Aug 5.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Self-harm-related death is one of the most unfortunate, tragic, and regrettable types of death owing to injuries with a variety of socio-economic and cultural causes. The study aimed to determine the trend in the mortality of self-harm by sex and age at national and provincial levels in Iran over a period of 26 years.

METHODS

The Iran Death Registration System (DRS), cemetery databanks in Tehran and Esfahan, and the national population and housing censuses of Iran were used for this study. Using a growth model, the population was estimated in the age groups. Incompleteness, misalignment, and misclassification in the DRS were all considered and addressed accordingly. We used a spatio-temporal and Gaussian process regression model to estimate mortality rates in children and adults.

RESULTS

Over the study period, 67,670 deaths were estimated owing to self-harm across the country. The overall age-standardized mortality rate decreased from 4.32 per 100,000 (95% unit interface (UI): 3.25-5.75) to 2.78 (2.15-3.59) per 100,000 between 1990 and 2015, a reduction of approximately 35.65%. The M/F ratio was 2.03:1 with an annual percent change of -2.38% and -1.37% for women and men, respectively. The annual self-harm mortality rate was higher among individuals aged 15-24 years, as well as it was more in men during the study period.

CONCLUSION

Mortality from self-harm has declined over the study period in Iran. Higher rates in men and in population aged 15-24 years, with considerable variation by province, were the distinguishing features of self-harm. Iran needs to improve monitoring through a comprehensive multisectoral strategy; and most importantly, provide timely, effective and low-cost preventive interventions.

摘要

背景

自残相关的死亡是最不幸、最悲惨和最令人遗憾的死亡类型之一,其原因有多种社会经济和文化因素。本研究旨在确定伊朗 26 年来全国和省级因自残导致的死亡率性别和年龄趋势。

方法

本研究使用了伊朗死亡登记系统(DRS)、德黑兰和伊斯法罕的公墓数据库以及伊朗的全国人口和住房普查数据。使用增长模型估计了各年龄组的人口。考虑到 DRS 的不完整性、错位和分类错误,并进行了相应的处理。我们使用时空和高斯过程回归模型来估计儿童和成人的死亡率。

结果

在研究期间,全国范围内估计有 67670 人因自残而死亡。总的年龄标准化死亡率从 1990 年至 2015 年期间从每 100000 人 4.32 例(95%置信区间(UI):3.25-5.75)下降到 2.78 例(2.15-3.59),下降了约 35.65%。男女比例为 2.03:1,女性和男性的年变化百分比分别为-2.38%和-1.37%。在研究期间,15-24 岁人群的年自残死亡率较高,男性的死亡率也较高。

结论

在研究期间,伊朗的自残死亡率有所下降。男性和 15-24 岁人群的比率较高,且各省份的差异较大,是自残的显著特征。伊朗需要通过全面的多部门战略来改善监测;最重要的是,提供及时、有效和低成本的预防干预措施。

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