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重新审视迈斯试验中的假阳性结果证据。

Re-examining the Meis Trial for Evidence of False-Positive Results.

机构信息

Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, McGovern Medical School-UTHealth, Houston, and the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, Texas; and Das Consulting, Guerneville, California.

出版信息

Obstet Gynecol. 2020 Sep;136(3):622-627. doi: 10.1097/AOG.0000000000003991.

DOI:10.1097/AOG.0000000000003991
PMID:32769653
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7431135/
Abstract

U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved 17α-hydroxyprogesterone caproate therapy is currently available to reduce recurrent preterm birth in the United States. This commentary reviews the original landmark Meis trial ("Prevention of Recurrent Preterm Delivery by 17 Alpha-Hydroxyprogesterone Caproate"), which led to conditional approval of 17α-hydroxyprogesterone caproate by the FDA in 2011. The recent PROLONG (Progestin's Role in Optimizing Neonatal Gestation) trial failed to confirm the original findings. The Meis trial was rigorously designed and conducted, with highly statistically significant results that should not be undermined by the negative results of PROLONG. Given that the United States has among the highest preterm birth rates in the world and that the predominant enrollment in PROLONG was outside the United States, the results of the "old" Meis trial should not be summarily dismissed. It would be detrimental to high-risk pregnant patients to inappropriately prioritize results of PROLONG over the Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network's Meis trial (funded by the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development). We assert PROLONG was underpowered, based on substantially lower observed preterm birth rates than anticipated, and therefore was a false-negative study, rather than the Meis trial being a false-positive study. Careful assessment of these two trials is critical as removal of 17α-hydroxyprogesterone caproate from the U.S. marketplace may have substantial effects on public health.

摘要

美国食品和药物管理局(FDA)批准的 17α-羟孕酮己酸酯治疗目前可用于减少美国的复发性早产。本评论回顾了最初的里程碑式 Meis 试验(“通过 17α-羟孕酮己酸酯预防复发性早产”),该试验导致 FDA 在 2011 年有条件批准 17α-羟孕酮己酸酯。最近的 PROLONG(孕激素在优化新生儿胎龄中的作用)试验未能证实最初的发现。Meis 试验设计严谨,结果具有高度统计学意义,不应因 PROLONG 的负面结果而受到损害。鉴于美国的早产率在世界上最高,而且 PROLONG 的主要入组人群在美国之外,“旧”Meis 试验的结果不应被草率驳回。如果不恰当地将 PROLONG 的结果置于 Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network 的 Meis 试验(由 Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development 资助)之上,对高危孕妇患者是有害的。我们断言 PROLONG 的效力不足,这是基于观察到的早产率远低于预期,因此是一项假阴性研究,而不是 Meis 试验是一项假阳性研究。对这两项试验进行仔细评估至关重要,因为将 17α-羟孕酮己酸酯从美国市场撤出可能对公共卫生产生重大影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24d9/7431135/9e1ae396c174/ong-136-622-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24d9/7431135/9e1ae396c174/ong-136-622-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/24d9/7431135/9e1ae396c174/ong-136-622-g003.jpg

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引用本文的文献

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What now? A critical evaluation of over 20 years of clinical and research experience with 17-alpha hydroxyprogesterone caproate for recurrent preterm birth prevention.现在怎么办?对己酸17-α羟孕酮预防复发性早产20多年临床及研究经验的批判性评估。
Am J Obstet Gynecol MFM. 2023 Oct;5(10):101108. doi: 10.1016/j.ajogmf.2023.101108. Epub 2023 Jul 30.

本文引用的文献

1
17-OHPC to Prevent Recurrent Preterm Birth in Singleton Gestations (PROLONG Study): A Multicenter, International, Randomized Double-Blind Trial.17-OHPC 预防单胎妊娠早产复发(PROLONG 研究):一项多中心、国际、随机、双盲试验。
Am J Perinatol. 2020 Jan;37(2):127-136. doi: 10.1055/s-0039-3400227. Epub 2019 Oct 25.
2
17α-Hydroxyprogesterone Caproate and the Risk of Glucose Intolerance in Pregnancy: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.己酸羟孕酮与妊娠葡萄糖耐量异常风险:系统评价和荟萃分析。
Obstet Gynecol. 2019 Mar;133(3):468-475. doi: 10.1097/AOG.0000000000003115.
3
17-alpha Hydroxyprogesterone caproate did not reduce the rate of recurrent preterm birth in a prospective cohort study.
在一项前瞻性队列研究中,己酸17-α羟孕酮并未降低复发性早产的发生率。
Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2017 Jun;216(6):600.e1-600.e9. doi: 10.1016/j.ajog.2017.02.025. Epub 2017 Feb 20.
4
Nonmedically indicated induction vs expectant treatment in term nulliparous women.足月未产妇非医学指征引产与期待治疗的比较
Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2015 Jan;212(1):103.e1-7. doi: 10.1016/j.ajog.2014.06.054. Epub 2014 Jun 28.
5
Castor oil induces laxation and uterus contraction via ricinoleic acid activating prostaglandin EP3 receptors.蓖麻油通过蓖麻酸激活前列腺素 EP3 受体诱导通便和子宫收缩。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2012 Jun 5;109(23):9179-84. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1201627109. Epub 2012 May 21.
6
Pregnancy outcomes of women receiving compounded 17 α-hydroxyprogesterone caproate for prophylactic prevention of preterm birth 2004 to 2011.2004 年至 2011 年,接受复方 17α-羟孕酮己酸酯预防性预防早产的妇女的妊娠结局。
Am J Perinatol. 2012 Sep;29(8):635-42. doi: 10.1055/s-0032-1311979. Epub 2012 May 10.
7
Respiratory morbidity in late preterm births.晚期早产儿的呼吸系统并发症。
JAMA. 2010 Jul 28;304(4):419-25. doi: 10.1001/jama.2010.1015.
8
Was the preterm birth rate in the placebo group too high in the Meis MFMU Network trial of 17-OHPC?在17-羟孕酮(17-OHPC)的梅斯母胎医学联盟(Meis MFMU Network)试验中,安慰剂组的早产率是否过高?
Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2010 May;202(5):409-10. doi: 10.1016/j.ajog.2010.03.020.
9
Born a bit too early: recent trends in late preterm births.出生过早:晚期早产的近期趋势
NCHS Data Brief. 2009 Nov(24):1-8.
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Neonatal mortality and morbidity rates in late preterm births compared with births at term.晚期早产与足月产相比的新生儿死亡率和发病率。
Obstet Gynecol. 2008 Jan;111(1):35-41. doi: 10.1097/01.AOG.0000297311.33046.73.