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精英足球队在球权恢复方面表现如何?战术建模和情境变量对防守战术模式的影响。

How do Elite Soccer Teams Perform to Ball Recovery? Effects of Tactical Modelling and Contextual Variables on the Defensive Patterns of Play.

作者信息

Fernandes Tiago, Camerino Oleguer, Garganta Júlio, Hileno Raúl, Barreira Daniel

机构信息

Centre of Research, Training, Innovation and Intervention in Sport (CIFI2D), Faculty of Sport, University of Porto, Porto, Portugal.

National Institute of Physical Education of Catalonia (INEFC), University of Lleida, Lleida, Spain.

出版信息

J Hum Kinet. 2020 Jul 21;73:165-179. doi: 10.2478/hukin-2019-0141. eCollection 2020 Jul.

Abstract

Researchers in soccer match analysis have been using limited procedures to express the dynamics of the game and mainly focus on the attack. Therefore, the aims of this paper were to detect the successful teams' ball recovery defensive patterns of play and study the influence of tactical modelling, halves, match status, opponent quality and stage competition on those patterns. The sample consisted of 1323 situations of defensive ball possession of the semi-finalist teams from the 2014 FIFA World Cup play-offs, which was collected by a valid and reliable observational instrument (Soccer-Defence). The Kruskal-Wallis H, Mann-Whitney U, Chi-square, Z-, multinomial logistic regression tests and sequential analysis (p < .05; z > 1.96) were used accordingly to test the differences and associations among and within teams of tactical modelling, tactical-technical behaviours and contextual variables to ball recovery. We found that among teams ball recovery differed in duration; H(3) = 14.958, p = .002. Germany were more likely to perform ball recovery by the goalkeeper than Argentina (p = .04; OR = 0.47) or the Netherlands (p < .05; OR = 0.50). Nevertheless, Brazil was the least likely to concede a shot off goal. Teams facing lower-ranked opponents were 0.63 times less likely to perform ball recovery by interception (p <.001). Additionally, sequential analysis illustrated that teams varied between central and lateral high-pressure zones before ball recovery in lower zones of the field. Finally, coaches could use such findings to design training exercises, create their own style of play, and set strategies.

摘要

足球比赛分析领域的研究人员一直采用有限的程序来表达比赛动态,并且主要关注进攻。因此,本文旨在检测成功球队的球权夺回防守打法模式,并研究战术建模、半场、比赛状态、对手实力和比赛阶段对这些模式的影响。样本包括2014年国际足联世界杯预选赛半决赛球队的1323次防守控球情况,这些数据是通过一种有效且可靠的观察工具(足球防守)收集的。相应地使用了克鲁斯卡尔 - 沃利斯H检验、曼 - 惠特尼U检验、卡方检验、Z检验、多项逻辑回归检验和序列分析(p <.05;z > 1.96)来测试战术建模、战术 - 技术行为以及与球权夺回相关的情境变量在球队之间和球队内部的差异与关联。我们发现,球队之间的球权夺回持续时间存在差异;H(3) = 14.958,p =.002。德国队通过守门员进行球权夺回的可能性高于阿根廷队(p =.04;OR = 0.47)或荷兰队(p <.05;OR = 0.50)。然而,巴西队最不容易被对手射门得分。面对排名较低对手的球队通过拦截进行球权夺回的可能性要低0.63倍(p <.001)。此外,序列分析表明,在球场较低区域球权夺回之前,球队在中央和横向高压区域之间存在变化。最后,教练可以利用这些发现来设计训练练习、打造自己球队的比赛风格并制定策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4352/7386141/715380d189ad/hukin-73-165-g001.jpg

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