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旅游业、贸易、可再生能源利用和二氧化碳排放对经济增长的作用:欧盟 28 国旅游引领型增长假说的证据。

The role of tourism, trade, renewable energy use and carbon dioxide emissions on economic growth: evidence of tourism-led growth hypothesis in EU-28.

机构信息

Department of Political Economy and Public Finance, Economic and Business Statistics and Economic Policy, University of Castilla-La, Mancha, Cuenca, Spain.

Polytechnic Institute of Santarém, Center for Advanced Studies in Management and Economics, Évora University, Évora, Portugal.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Dec;27(36):45883-45896. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-10375-1. Epub 2020 Aug 17.

Abstract

The article examines the effects of renewable energy, trade, carbon dioxide emissions and international tourism on economic growth in EU-28, considering panel data for the period 1995-2014. The investigation finds the new determinants of economic growth. The empirical results find support from the panel fully modified least squares (FMOLS), panel dynamic least squares (DOLS) and fixed effects (FE) as estimation techniques. The econometric results are consistent with the existing literature. The variables considered in this study are cointegrated in the first difference, as suggested by the panel unit root test. The present study seeks to advance the knowledge of the growth determinants, paying attention to the effect that both the tourism and energy sector exerts on economic growth for EU-28 countries. The empirical results demonstrate that trade openness, tourism arrivals and renewable energy encourage economic growth. Therefore, according to the econometric results, renewable energy allows improving environmental quality. However, CO emissions are positively correlated with economic growth, showing that growth is directly correlated by climate change and greenhouse gas. The results also confirm the tourism-led growth hypothesis (TLGH) for the panel. Finally, the empirical results confirm that trade openness, energy use and international tourism contribute to enhance economic growth. Based on these findings, further insights and policy prescription are offered in the concluding section.Graphical abstract.

摘要

本文考察了 1995-2014 年期间欧盟 28 国可再生能源、贸易、二氧化碳排放和国际旅游对经济增长的影响。研究发现了新的经济增长决定因素。实证结果支持面板完全修正最小二乘法(FMOLS)、面板动态最小二乘法(DOLS)和固定效应(FE)作为估计技术。计量经济学结果与现有文献一致。如面板单位根检验所建议,本研究中考虑的变量在一阶差分中是协整的。本研究旨在关注旅游和能源部门对欧盟 28 国经济增长的影响,从而推进对增长决定因素的认识。实证结果表明,贸易开放、旅游入境人数和可再生能源促进了经济增长。因此,根据计量经济学结果,可再生能源可以改善环境质量。然而,二氧化碳排放与经济增长呈正相关,表明增长与气候变化和温室气体直接相关。结果还证实了面板的旅游引领增长假说(TLGH)。最后,实证结果证实贸易开放、能源利用和国际旅游有助于促进经济增长。基于这些发现,在结论部分提供了进一步的见解和政策建议。

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