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美国的收入不平等与自杀:基于地理加权回归的 1684 个美国县的空间分析。

Income inequality and suicide in the United States: A spatial analysis of 1684 U.S. counties using geographically weighted regression.

机构信息

Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, 722 W 168th Street, New York, NY, 10032, USA.

Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, 722 W 168th Street, New York, NY, 10032, USA; Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.

出版信息

Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol. 2020 Aug;34:100359. doi: 10.1016/j.sste.2020.100359. Epub 2020 Jul 3.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Suicide rates vary considerably across U.S. counties. Spatial non-stationarity may explain mixed findings on the relationship between suicide and income inequality.

METHODS

This ecological study analyzed county-level income inequality and suicide rates for the timespan 2012-2016. Ordinary least squares regression, multilevel regression, and geographically weighted regression models were constructed while adjusting for age, race/ethnicity, gender, education, median income, unemployment, and urbanicity.

RESULTS

Ordinary least squares regression and multilevel models found no significant association between income inequality and county suicide rates after adjusting for confounding variables. However, the geographically weighted regression model identified two main areas in which income inequality was negatively associated with suicide rates, as well as several counties across central U.S. in which income inequality was positively associated with suicide rates.

CONCLUSION

Income inequality's effect on county suicide rates may vary across space. Future research should consider spatial non-stationarity when studying suicide and macro-level socioeconomic conditions.

摘要

背景

美国各县的自杀率差异很大。自杀与收入不平等之间的关系存在混合结果,这可能是由于空间非平稳性造成的。

方法

本生态研究分析了 2012-2016 年期间县级收入不平等和自杀率。在调整年龄、种族/民族、性别、教育、中位数收入、失业率和城市人口比例等混杂变量后,构建了普通最小二乘回归、多层次回归和地理加权回归模型。

结果

在调整混杂变量后,普通最小二乘回归和多层次模型均未发现收入不平等与县自杀率之间存在显著关联。然而,地理加权回归模型确定了收入不平等与自杀率呈负相关的两个主要区域,以及美国中部几个与自杀率呈正相关的县。

结论

收入不平等对县自杀率的影响可能存在空间差异。未来的研究在研究自杀和宏观社会经济状况时,应考虑空间非平稳性。

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