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地方政府间的道路安全绩效:数据包络分析方法。

Road safety performance across local governments: a data envelopment analysis approach.

机构信息

Department of Environmental Planning, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.

Centre for Transport Safety Research, Korea Transport Institute, Sejong, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot. 2020 Dec;27(4):447-457. doi: 10.1080/17457300.2020.1810073. Epub 2020 Aug 19.

DOI:10.1080/17457300.2020.1810073
PMID:32811285
Abstract

Road safety performance varies among local municipalities since road safety involves multiple inputs (e.g. facilities and programs) and multiple outputs (e.g. crashes and casualties). A benchmark analysis between local governments is a useful platform to improve their road safety performances because the analysis can specify which other municipalities' processes should be consulted to improve their practices. This study employs the data envelopment analysis approach for benchmark analysis. The input-oriented variable returns to scale model is applied to Korea. The outputs are the numbers of crashes and fatalities, and two sets of indexed inputs comprising institutional managements and governmental interventions are visited. In particular, standardized data formatting between, and controllability by, local governments are highlighted as the required properties for inputs. The overall efficiency scores and the nature of returns to scale reveal the under-investments in road safety in Korea. Efficiency scores by each municipality are also provided. This examination shows the projected values of inputs and outputs as well as benchmarks for each municipality. A sensitivity analysis based on the leave-one-out method generates stable efficiency scores across local governments, which shows the robustness of the model. Finally, the incorporation of environmental variables and dynamic analysis is suggested for further studies.

摘要

道路安全绩效因涉及多个投入(如设施和项目)和多个产出(如事故和伤亡)而在地方政府间存在差异。地方政府间的基准分析是提高道路安全绩效的有益平台,因为该分析可以指明应咨询哪些其他城市的流程来改进实践。本研究采用数据包络分析方法进行基准分析。应用于韩国的是输入导向的可变规模报酬模型。产出是事故和伤亡数量,以及两组包含机构管理和政府干预的索引投入。特别是,强调了输入的地方政府间的标准化数据格式和可控性是必需的属性。总体效率得分和规模报酬的性质揭示了韩国在道路安全方面的投资不足。还提供了每个市政府的效率得分。此项检查显示了每个市政府的投入和产出的预计值以及基准。基于逐一剔除法的敏感性分析产生了地方政府间稳定的效率得分,这表明了模型的稳健性。最后,建议进一步研究纳入环境变量和动态分析。

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