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爱尔兰都柏林一所大型教学医院的空气污染和合并症负担对急性住院死亡率结果的影响:半生态学分析。

Air pollution and comorbidity burden influencing acute hospital mortality outcomes in a large academic teaching hospital in Dublin, Ireland: a semi-ecologic analysis.

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, St James's Hospital, Dublin 8, Ireland.

Department of Internal Medicine, St James's Hospital, Dublin 8, Ireland.

出版信息

Public Health. 2020 Sep;186:164-169. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2020.07.023. Epub 2020 Aug 21.

DOI:10.1016/j.puhe.2020.07.023
PMID:32836006
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the extent to which air pollution interacts with comorbidity in determining mortality outcomes of emergency medical admissions.

STUDY DESIGN

Routinely collected data were used to study all emergency medical admissions to an academic teaching hospital in Dublin, Ireland, from 2002 to 2018. Air pollution was measured by particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤10 μm (PM) and sulphur dioxide (SO) levels on the day of admission. Comorbidity Score was measured using a previously derived score.

METHODS

A multivariable logistic regression model was used to relate air pollutant levels, Comorbidity Scores, and their interaction to 30-day in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

There were 102,483 admissions in 58,127 patients over 17 years. Both air pollutant levels and Comorbidity Score were associated with 30-day in-hospital mortality. On admission days with PM levels above the median, mortality was higher (Odds ratio [OR] 1.09; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.06, 1.18) at 11.2% (95% CI 10.5, 12) compared with 10.4% (95% CI 10, 10.7) on days when PM levels were below the median. On admission days with SO levels above the median, mortality was higher (OR 1.13; 95% CI 1.10, 1.16) at 12.2% (95% CI 11.4, 13) compared with 10.7% (95% CI 10.3, 11.1) on days when SO levels were below the median. Comorbidity Score was strongly associated with mortality (mortality rate of 8.9% for those with a 6-point score vs mortality rate of 30.3% for those with a 16-point score). There was limited interaction between air pollutant levels and Comorbidity Score.

CONCLUSION

Both air pollution levels on the day of admission and Comorbidity Score were associated with 30-day in-hospital mortality. However, there was limited interaction between these two factors.

摘要

目的

探讨空气污染与合并症在多大程度上共同决定急诊入院患者的死亡结局。

研究设计

利用爱尔兰都柏林一所学术教学医院的常规收集数据,研究 2002 年至 2018 年期间所有急诊入院患者。入院当天测量空气污染程度,采用空气动力学直径≤10μm 的颗粒物(PM)和二氧化硫(SO)水平进行测量。合并症评分采用之前推导的评分进行测量。

方法

采用多变量逻辑回归模型,将空气污染物水平、合并症评分及其相互作用与 30 天院内死亡率相关联。

结果

在 17 年期间,共有 58127 例患者的 102483 例次住院。空气污染物水平和合并症评分均与 30 天院内死亡率相关。在 PM 水平高于中位数的入院日,死亡率更高(比值比 [OR] 1.09;95%置信区间 [CI] 1.06,1.18),为 11.2%(95% CI 10.5,12),而 PM 水平低于中位数的入院日为 10.4%(95% CI 10,10.7)。在 SO 水平高于中位数的入院日,死亡率更高(OR 1.13;95% CI 1.10,1.16),为 12.2%(95% CI 11.4,13),而 SO 水平低于中位数的入院日为 10.7%(95% CI 10.3,11.1)。合并症评分与死亡率密切相关(6 分者死亡率为 8.9%,16 分者死亡率为 30.3%)。空气污染物水平和合并症评分之间的相互作用有限。

结论

入院当天的空气污染水平和合并症评分均与 30 天院内死亡率相关。然而,这两个因素之间的相互作用有限。

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