Feng Jin, Li Qin, Smith James P
Fudan University, School of Economics, 600 Guoquan Road, Shanghai, 200433,China.
South China Agricultural University, Department of Economics and Management, 483 Wushan Rd., Tianhe District, 510642, Guangzhou, China.
World Dev. 2020 Feb;126. doi: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.104702. Epub 2019 Oct 11.
This paper analyzes the causal impact of retirement in China on Body Mass Index (BMI) and weight, which are a good gauge of the risk for some diseases. Many middle income developing countries are aging very rapidly and may have to adjust the retirement age to have financially feasible government budgets. It is important to know and understand any plausible health consequences of raising the retirement age in developing countries, and which sub-populations within these countries may be most affected. By using 2011, 2013 and 2015 waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), our identification strategy uses variation in China's mandatory retirement age with a fuzzy discontinuity design to examine an exogenous shock to retirement behavior. Our study finds that retirement will increase weight and BMI among men. This effect is much larger for men with low education. The channel may be that men with low education drink more and take less vigorous exercises after they get retired. Retirement does not affect weight and BMI for women. These effects are robust with different definitions of retirement, narrow retirement bandwidth for samples as well as dropping samples with rural Hukou.
本文分析了中国退休对体重指数(BMI)和体重的因果影响,这两者是衡量某些疾病风险的良好指标。许多中等收入发展中国家正在迅速老龄化,可能不得不调整退休年龄以实现财政上可行的政府预算。了解和理解提高发展中国家退休年龄可能产生的任何合理健康后果,以及这些国家内哪些亚人群可能受到的影响最大,这一点很重要。通过使用中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)2011年、2013年和2015年的数据,我们的识别策略采用中国法定退休年龄的差异,并运用模糊断点设计来检验退休行为的外生冲击。我们的研究发现,退休会增加男性的体重和BMI。对于低学历男性,这种影响要大得多。其渠道可能是,低学历男性退休后饮酒更多,进行的剧烈运动更少。退休对女性的体重和BMI没有影响。这些影响在对退休的不同定义、样本的狭窄退休带宽以及剔除农村户口样本的情况下都是稳健的。