Brunner Norbert, Kühleitner Manfred
University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences (BOKU), Department of Integrative Biology and Biodiversity Research (DIBB), A-1180 Vienna, Austria.
Vet Anim Sci. 2020 Aug 1;10:100135. doi: 10.1016/j.vas.2020.100135. eCollection 2020 Dec.
Growth literature often uses the Brody, Gompertz, Verhulst, and von Bertalanffy models. Is there a rationale for the preference of these classical named models? The versatile five-parameter Bertalanffy-Pütter (BP) model generalizes these models. We revisited peer-reviewed publications from the years 1970-2019 that fitted growth models to together 122 mass-at-age data of sheep and goats from 19 countries and studied the best-fit BP-models using the least-squares method. None of the named models was ever best-fitting. However, for 70% of the data a single non-sigmoidal model had an acceptable fit (normalized root mean squared error 〈 5% and F-ratio test 〉 5% in comparison to the best-fit): the Brody model. The inherently non-sigmoidal character was further underlined, as there were only 39% of the data, where the best-fitting BP-model had a discernible inflection point. For these data, conclusions of biological interest could be drawn from the sigmoidal best-fit BP-models: the maximal weight gain per day was about 55% higher than the natal weight gain per day.
生长文献中经常使用布罗迪、冈珀茨、韦尔胡尔斯和冯·贝塔朗菲模型。偏好这些经典命名模型有什么依据吗?通用的五参数贝塔朗菲 - 普特(BP)模型对这些模型进行了推广。我们回顾了1970年至2019年间的同行评审出版物,这些出版物将生长模型应用于来自19个国家的绵羊和山羊的122个年龄体重数据,并使用最小二乘法研究了最佳拟合的BP模型。没有一个命名模型是最佳拟合的。然而,对于70%的数据,单个非S形模型具有可接受的拟合度(与最佳拟合相比,归一化均方根误差〈5%且F比率检验〉5%):布罗迪模型。由于只有39%的数据中最佳拟合的BP模型有明显的拐点,其固有的非S形特征得到了进一步强调。对于这些数据,可以从S形最佳拟合BP模型得出具有生物学意义的结论:每天的最大体重增加比出生时每天的体重增加高约55%。