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世界主要国家虚拟水贸易的社会网络分析。

Social network analysis of virtual water trade among major countries in the world.

机构信息

School of Statistics, Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics, Lanzhou 730020, PR China.

School of Public Finance and Taxation, Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics, Hangzhou 310018, PR China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2021 Jan 20;753:142043. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142043. Epub 2020 Aug 27.

Abstract

This study utilizes multi-region input-output model to calculate the virtual water trade among 19 major countries (the Group 20 countries, except the EU) from 2006 to 2015. Moreover, this paper uses network analysis method to study the characteristics of virtual water trade networks. Results show that: (1) the import and export of the virtual water trade among 19 major countries in 2015 increased in varying degrees. Among them, the growth rates of China's import and Russia's export were the highest. (2) The density(average value) and asymmetry(differences between import and export)of the virtual water trade network among the major countries in 2006-2015 increased throughout the whole industry and the three major industries. In comparison with the secondary and tertiary industries, the virtual water trade network formed by the primary industry is denser. (3) The Out-Degree(corresponding to export) and In-Degree(corresponding to import)of countries in the virtual water trade network of the whole industry increased in varying degrees in 2015. Major countries exhibited the largest export and import within the primary industry, except for Japan and South Korea. Therefore, in order to alleviate the contradiction between supply and demand of water resources in various countries, it is necessary to further strengthen the construction of transportation facilities and reduce the logistics cost of trade in industrial and agricultural products, especially the trade cost of agricultural products such as grain, so as to further expand the virtual water import and export trade to expand the import and export trade of the virtual water network further.

摘要

本研究利用多区域投入产出模型,计算了 2006 年至 2015 年间 20 国集团(欧盟除外)19 个主要国家之间的虚拟水贸易。此外,本文还采用网络分析方法研究了虚拟水贸易网络的特征。结果表明:(1)2015 年 19 个主要国家之间的虚拟水贸易进出口均有不同程度的增长。其中,中国进口和俄罗斯出口的增长率最高。(2)2006 年至 2015 年,整个工业和三大产业的虚拟水贸易网络密度(平均值)和非对称性(进出口差异)均有所增加。与第二产业和第三产业相比,由第一产业形成的虚拟水贸易网络更为密集。(3)2015 年,整个工业虚拟水贸易网络中各国的出度(对应出口)和入度(对应进口)均有不同程度的增加。主要国家在第一产业的出口和进口均最大,除日本和韩国外。因此,为了缓解各国水资源供需矛盾,有必要进一步加强交通设施建设,降低工农业产品贸易的物流成本,特别是粮食等农产品的贸易成本,进一步扩大虚拟水的进出口贸易,以扩大虚拟水网络的进出口贸易。

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