Debnath Ramit, Bardhan Ronita
Behaviour and Building Performance Group, Department of Architecture, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Energy Policy Research Group, Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
PLoS One. 2020 Sep 11;15(9):e0238972. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0238972. eCollection 2020.
India locked down 1.3 billion people on March 25, 2020, in the wake of COVID-19 pandemic. The economic cost of it was estimated at USD 98 billion, while the social costs are still unknown. This study investigated how government formed reactive policies to fight coronavirus across its policy sectors. Primary data was collected from the Press Information Bureau (PIB) in the form press releases of government plans, policies, programme initiatives and achievements. A text corpus of 260,852 words was created from 396 documents from the PIB. An unsupervised machine-based topic modelling using Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) algorithm was performed on the text corpus. It was done to extract high probability topics in the policy sectors. The interpretation of the extracted topics was made through a nudge theoretic lens to derive the critical policy heuristics of the government. Results showed that most interventions were targeted to generate endogenous nudge by using external triggers. Notably, the nudges from the Prime Minister of India was critical in creating herd effect on lockdown and social distancing norms across the nation. A similar effect was also observed around the public health (e.g., masks in public spaces; Yoga and Ayurveda for immunity), transport (e.g., old trains converted to isolation wards), micro, small and medium enterprises (e.g., rapid production of PPE and masks), science and technology sector (e.g., diagnostic kits, robots and nano-technology), home affairs (e.g., surveillance and lockdown), urban (e.g. drones, GIS-tools) and education (e.g., online learning). A conclusion was drawn on leveraging these heuristics are crucial for lockdown easement planning.
2020年3月25日,在新冠疫情爆发后,印度对13亿人口实施了封锁。其经济成本估计为980亿美元,而社会成本仍未知。本研究调查了政府如何在其各个政策领域制定应对新冠病毒的 reactive 政策。主要数据是从新闻信息局(PIB)以政府计划、政策、项目举措和成就的新闻稿形式收集的。从PIB的396份文件中创建了一个260,852字的文本语料库。对该文本语料库进行了基于潜在狄利克雷分配(LDA)算法的无监督机器主题建模。这样做是为了提取政策领域中概率较高的主题。通过助推理论视角对提取的主题进行解读,以得出政府的关键政策启发法。结果表明,大多数干预措施旨在通过外部触发因素产生内生性助推。值得注意的是,印度总理的助推对于在全国范围内就封锁和社交距离规范形成羊群效应至关重要。在公共卫生(例如,公共场所戴口罩;通过瑜伽和阿育吠陀增强免疫力)、交通(例如,将旧火车改造成隔离病房)、微型、小型和中型企业(例如,快速生产个人防护装备和口罩)、科学技术领域(例如,诊断试剂盒、机器人和纳米技术)、内政(例如,监控和封锁)、城市(例如,无人机、地理信息系统工具)和教育(例如,在线学习)等方面也观察到了类似的效果。得出的结论是,利用这些启发法对于封锁放宽规划至关重要。