Institute of Occupational Medicine, Social Medicine and Environmental Medicine, Goethe University, 60590 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development, University of Antwerp, 2000 Antwerp, Belgium.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Sep 12;17(18):6656. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17186656.
The risk of increasing dengue (DEN) and chikungunya (CHIK) epidemics impacts 240 million people, health systems, and the economy in the Hindu Kush Himalayan (HKH) region. The aim of this systematic review is to monitor trends in the distribution and spread of DEN/CHIK over time and geographically for future reliable vector and disease control in the HKH region. We conducted a systematic review of the literature on the spatiotemporal distribution of DEN/CHIK in HKH published up to 23 January 2020, following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. In total, we found 61 articles that focused on the spatial and temporal distribution of 72,715 DEN and 2334 CHIK cases in the HKH region from 1951 to 2020. DEN incidence occurs in seven HKH countries, i.e., India, Nepal, Bhutan, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Afghanistan, and Myanmar, and CHIK occurs in four HKH countries, i.e., India, Nepal, Bhutan, and Myanmar, out of eight HKH countries. DEN is highly seasonal and starts with the onset of the monsoon (July in India and June in Nepal) and with the onset of spring (May in Bhutan) and peaks in the postmonsoon season (September to November). This current trend of increasing numbers of both diseases in many countries of the HKH region requires coordination of response efforts to prevent and control the future expansion of those vector-borne diseases to nonendemic areas, across national borders.
登革热(DEN)和基孔肯雅热(CHIK)流行的风险影响了 2.4 亿人、卫生系统和喜马拉雅山区(HKH)的经济。本系统评价的目的是监测 DEN/CHIK 在时间和地理上的分布和传播趋势,以便在未来对 HKH 地区的病媒和疾病进行可靠的控制。我们按照系统评价和荟萃分析的首选报告项目(PRISMA)指南,对截至 2020 年 1 月 23 日发表的关于 HKH 地区 DEN/CHIK 时空分布的文献进行了系统评价。我们共发现了 61 篇文章,这些文章主要关注了 1951 年至 2020 年间 HKH 地区 72715 例登革热和 2334 例基孔肯雅热病例的空间和时间分布。在七个 HKH 国家(印度、尼泊尔、不丹、巴基斯坦、孟加拉国、阿富汗和缅甸)发生登革热,而在八个 HKH 国家(印度、尼泊尔、不丹和缅甸)发生基孔肯雅热。登革热具有很强的季节性,始于季风(印度的 7 月和尼泊尔的 6 月)和春季(不丹的 5 月),在季风雨季后达到高峰(9 月至 11 月)。这种在许多 HKH 地区国家中登革热和基孔肯雅热病例数量不断增加的趋势,需要协调应对努力,以防止和控制这些病媒传播疾病向非流行地区的未来蔓延,跨越国界。