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我们应该为下一次 2019 年冠状病毒病爆发做些什么准备?一项针对韩国传染病专家意见的调查。

What should we prepare for the next coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak? A survey on the opinions of infectious diseases specialists in South Korea.

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.

Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Soonchunhyang University Seoul Hospital, Seoul, Korea.

出版信息

Korean J Intern Med. 2020 Nov;35(6):1270-1278. doi: 10.3904/kjim.2020.222. Epub 2020 Sep 23.

Abstract

BACKGROUND/AIMS: This study aimed to collect information on the opinions of Korean infectious disease (ID) experts on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and related issues in preparation for a future outbreak.

METHODS

A survey was conducted over the course of 5 days (from April 21 to 25, 2020), targeting all adult ID specialists currently in the medical field in South Korea (n = 265). An online-based survey was forwarded via text message and e-mail. Only one response was accepted from each participant.

RESULTS

Of these 265 ID specialists gotten to, 132 (49.8%) responded. The highest proportion of the respondents envisaged the current COVID-19 outbreak to end after December 2020 (47.7% for the domestic Korean outbreak and 70.5% for the global pandemic); moreover, 60.7% of them stated that a second nationwide wave is likely to occur between September and December 2020 in South Korea. N95 respirators were considered to be the most important item in hospitals in preparation for a second wave. The most important policy to be implemented at the national level was securing national hospitals designated for the treatment of ID (67.4%).

CONCLUSION

ID experts in South Korea believe that the COVID-19 pandemic may not be easily controlled and that a second nationwide wave is likely to occur in South Korea. Our results indicate that Korean ID specialists believe that a high level of preparation is needed in various aspects, including the procurement of personal protective equipment, to respond efficiently to a second outbreak.

摘要

背景/目的:本研究旨在收集韩国传染病(ID)专家对 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)及相关问题的意见,为未来的疫情爆发做准备。

方法

本研究于 2020 年 4 月 21 日至 25 日进行了为期 5 天的调查,目标人群为韩国所有在职的成年 ID 专家(n=265)。通过短信和电子邮件向他们发送了在线调查。每位参与者仅接受一次回复。

结果

在这 265 名 ID 专家中,有 132 名(49.8%)做出了回应。受访者中,预计 COVID-19 疫情将在 2020 年 12 月后结束的比例最高(国内韩国疫情为 47.7%,全球大流行疫情为 70.5%);此外,60.7%的人表示,韩国很可能在 2020 年 9 月至 12 月间出现第二波全国性疫情。在为第二波疫情做准备时,N95 口罩被认为是医院最重要的物品。在国家层面上,实施的最重要政策是确保用于治疗 ID 的国家医院(67.4%)。

结论

韩国的 ID 专家认为 COVID-19 疫情可能不容易控制,韩国很可能出现第二波全国性疫情。我们的研究结果表明,韩国 ID 专家认为需要在各个方面做好充分准备,包括采购个人防护设备,以便对第二波疫情做出高效应对。

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