University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics, Department of Emergency Medicine, Iowa City, Iowa.
West J Emerg Med. 2020 Aug 20;21(5):1275-1282. doi: 10.5811/westjem.2020.5.46991.
Few emergency department (ED)-specific fall-risk screening tools exist. The goals of this study were to externally validate Tiedemann et al's two-item, ED-specific fall screening tool and test handgrip strength to determine their ability to predict future falls. We hypothesized that both the two-item fall screening and handgrip strength would identify older adults at increased risk of falling.
A convenience sample of patients ages 65 and older presenting to a single-center academic ED were enrolled. Patients were asked screening questions and had their handgrip strength measured during their ED visit. Patients were given one point if they answered "yes" to "Are you taking six or more medications?" and two points for answering "yes" to "Have you had two or more falls in the past year?" to give a cumulative score from 0 to 3. Participants had monthly follow- ups, via postcard questionnaires, for six months after their ED visit. We performed sensitivity and specificity analyses, and used likelihood ratios and frequencies to assess the relationship between risk factors and falls, fall-related injury, and death.
In this study, 247 participants were enrolled with 143 participants completing follow-up (58%). During the six-month follow-up period, 34% of participants had at least one fall and 30 patients died (12.1%). Fall rates for individual Tiedemann scores were 14.3%, 33.3%, 60.0% and 72.2% for scores of 0,1, 2 and 3, respectively. Low handgrip strength was associated with a higher proportion of falls (46.3%), but had poor sensitivity (52.1%).
Handgrip strength was not sensitive in screening older adults for future falls. The Tiedemann rule differentiated older adults who were at high risk for future falls from low risk individuals, and can be considered by EDs wanting to screen older adults for future fall risk.
目前仅有少数专门针对急诊科(ED)的跌倒风险筛查工具。本研究的目的是对 Tiedemann 等人的两项 ED 特定跌倒筛查工具进行外部验证,并测试握力以确定其预测未来跌倒的能力。我们假设这两项跌倒筛查和握力都能识别出跌倒风险增加的老年人。
本研究纳入了在单中心学术急诊科就诊的年龄在 65 岁及以上的便利样本患者。在 ED 就诊期间,患者会被询问筛查问题并测量握力。如果患者回答“是”,则计 1 分:“你是否正在服用六种或六种以上药物?”如果回答“是”,则计 2 分:“你在过去一年中是否跌倒过两次或两次以上?”,以得出 0 到 3 的累积分数。患者在 ED 就诊后进行为期 6 个月的每月随访,通过明信片问卷调查。我们进行了敏感性和特异性分析,并使用似然比和频率来评估危险因素与跌倒、与跌倒相关的伤害和死亡之间的关系。
本研究共纳入了 247 名参与者,其中 143 名参与者完成了随访(58%)。在 6 个月的随访期间,34%的参与者至少发生了一次跌倒,30 名患者死亡(12.1%)。Tiedemann 评分分别为 0、1、2 和 3 的患者的跌倒率分别为 14.3%、33.3%、60.0%和 72.2%。握力较低与更高比例的跌倒相关(46.3%),但敏感性较差(52.1%)。
握力在筛查老年人未来跌倒风险方面的敏感性较低。Tiedemann 法则区分了未来跌倒风险高的老年人和低风险个体,急诊科可以考虑用该法则筛查老年人未来跌倒风险。