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聚集性活动与 SARS-CoV-2 在弱势群体中的隐匿传播,导致德国蒂申罗伊特地区暴发高病死率疫情。

Mass gathering events and undetected transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in vulnerable populations leading to an outbreak with high case fatality ratio in the district of Tirschenreuth, Germany.

机构信息

Postgraduate Training for Applied Epidemiology (PAE), Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany.

European Programme for Intervention Epidemiology Training (EPIET), European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Epidemiol Infect. 2020 Oct 13;148:e252. doi: 10.1017/S0950268820002460.

Abstract

In early March 2020, a COVID-19-outbreak occurred in the district of Tirschenreuth, Germany. The outbreak was characterised by a rapid increase in case numbers and a comparatively high crude case fatality ratio (CFR; 11%). Until the beginning of May 2020, 1122 cases were reported in the district. To investigate the outbreak, we analysed surveillance and other data available at the district health department, including data on cases living in care facilities and public health measures applied. Furthermore, we compared the number of tests performed in Tirschenreuth and in Germany as a whole. We interviewed the first 110 cases in order to investigate potential exposures at the beginning of the outbreak. We found that returning ski-travellers from Austria and Italy and early undetected community transmission likely initiated the outbreak which was then accelerated by Bavarian beer festivities. Testing of mainly acute cases in the district of Tirschenreuth resulted in a higher rate of positive tests compared to the whole of Germany. Despite adjustment for age, the CFR continued to exceed the German mean which was due to spread to vulnerable populations. Strict public health measures likely contributed to control the outbreak by mid-April 2020.

摘要

2020 年 3 月初,德国蒂尔申罗特区(Tirschenreuth)爆发了 COVID-19 疫情。疫情的特点是病例数量迅速增加,粗病死率(CFR;11%)相对较高。截至 2020 年 5 月初,该地区报告了 1122 例病例。为了调查疫情,我们分析了地区卫生部门可获得的监测和其他数据,包括居住在护理设施中的病例数据和采取的公共卫生措施。此外,我们比较了蒂尔申罗特地区和德国整体进行的检测数量。我们对前 110 例病例进行了访谈,以调查疫情初期的潜在接触源。我们发现,来自奥地利和意大利的滑雪旅行者以及早期未被发现的社区传播可能引发了疫情,随后巴伐利亚啤酒节加速了疫情的传播。在蒂尔申罗特地区主要对急性病例进行检测,导致阳性检测率高于德国整体水平。尽管对年龄进行了调整,但 CFR 仍持续高于德国平均值,这是由于脆弱人群的传播。严格的公共卫生措施可能有助于在 2020 年 4 月中旬控制疫情。

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