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自由浮动式汽车共享会减少私人汽车拥有量吗?以欧洲城市的即时出行(SHARE NOW)为例。

Does free-floating carsharing reduce private vehicle ownership? The case of SHARE NOW in European cities.

作者信息

Jochem Patrick, Frankenhauser Dominik, Ewald Lukas, Ensslen Axel, Fromm Hansjörg

机构信息

Karlsruhe Service Research Institute (KSRI), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Kaiserstr. 89, D - 76133 Karlsruhe, Germany.

Department of Energy Systems Analysis, Institute of Engineering Thermodynamics, German Aerospace Center (DLR), Curiestr. 4, D - 70563 Stuttgart, Germany.

出版信息

Transp Res Part A Policy Pract. 2020 Nov;141:373-395. doi: 10.1016/j.tra.2020.09.016. Epub 2020 Oct 9.

Abstract

During the last decade, the use of free-floating carsharing systems has grown rapidly in urban areas. However, little is known on the effects free-floating carsharing offerings have on car ownership in general. Also the main drivers why free-floating users sell their cars are still rarely analysed. To shed some light on these issues, we carried out an online survey among free-floating carsharing users in 11 European cities and based our analysis on a sample of more than 10,000 survey participants. Our results show that one carsharing car replaces several private cars - in optimistic scenarios up to 20 cars. In Copenhagen (followed by Rome, Hamburg, and London) one carsharing car replaces about two times more private cars than in Madrid, the city with the lowest number. The main non-city specific influencing factor of shedding a private car due to the availability of the free-floating carsharing services seems to be the usage frequency of the service. The more kilometres users drive with these cars, the more likely it becomes that they sell a private car (or they sell their car and, therefore, use this service more often). Further memberships of bikesharing and other carsharing services, users that live in larger buildings as well as users that own several cars are more likely to reduce their number of cars, too. Finally, our findings are highly valuable for carsharing operators and (transport) policy makers when introducing free-floating carsharing systems in further cities. According to our results, all 11 cities show a reduced private car fleet due to members' access to free-floating carsharing.

摘要

在过去十年中,自由浮动式汽车共享系统在城市地区的使用迅速增长。然而,对于自由浮动式汽车共享服务对总体汽车保有量的影响,人们了解甚少。此外,自由浮动式汽车共享用户出售其汽车的主要驱动因素也很少得到分析。为了阐明这些问题,我们对11个欧洲城市的自由浮动式汽车共享用户进行了一项在线调查,并基于10000多名调查参与者的样本进行分析。我们的结果表明,一辆共享汽车取代了几辆私家车——在乐观情况下可达20辆。在哥本哈根(其次是罗马、汉堡和伦敦),一辆共享汽车取代的私家车数量比马德里多两倍左右,马德里是私家车被取代数量最少的城市。由于自由浮动式汽车共享服务的可用性而放弃私家车的主要非城市特定影响因素似乎是该服务的使用频率。用户驾驶这些汽车行驶的公里数越多,他们就越有可能出售私家车(或者他们出售汽车,因此更频繁地使用这项服务)。共享单车和其他汽车共享服务的进一步会员身份、居住在大型建筑中的用户以及拥有多辆汽车的用户也更有可能减少他们的汽车数量。最后,我们的研究结果对于汽车共享运营商和(交通)政策制定者在其他城市引入自由浮动式汽车共享系统时具有很高的价值。根据我们的结果,由于会员可以使用自由浮动式汽车共享服务,所有11个城市的私家车保有量都有所减少。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/339c/7544607/41279d0a56e4/gr1_lrg.jpg

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