Environmental Autoimmunity Group, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD.
Social & Scientific Systems, Inc, Durham, NC.
Rheumatology (Oxford). 2021 May 14;60(5):2134-2145. doi: 10.1093/rheumatology/keaa371.
A North American registry of JDM patients was examined for frequency of and factors associated with corticosteroid discontinuation, complete clinical response and remission.
We evaluated probability of achieving final corticosteroid discontinuation, complete clinical response and remission in 307 JDM patients by Weibull time-to-event modelling; conditional probability of complete clinical response and remission using Bayesian network modelling; and significant predictors with multivariable Markov chain Monte-Carlo Weibull extension models.
The probability of corticosteroid discontinuation was 56%, complete clinical response 38% and remission 30% by 60 months after initial treatment in 105 patients. The probability of remission was conditional on corticosteroid discontinuation and complete clinical response. Photosensitivity, contractures and a longer time to complete clinical response were predictive of the time to final corticosteroid discontinuation. Anti-MJ (NXP2) autoantibodies and a Northwest residential geoclimatic zone were predictive of shorter time to complete clinical response, while dysphonia, contractures, an increase in medications within 24 months and a longer time to corticosteroid discontinuation were associated with longer time to complete clinical response. Anti-p155/140 (TIF1) autoantibodies, an increase in medications within 12-24 months, or longer times to corticosteroid discontinuation and complete clinical response were associated with longer time to remission.
JDM patients achieve favourable outcomes, including corticosteroid discontinuation, complete clinical response and remission, although timelines for these may be several years based on time-dependent analyses. These outcomes are inter-related and strong predictors of each other. Selected clinical features and myositis autoantibodies are additionally associated with these outcomes.
对北美 JDM 患者的登记数据进行研究,以评估皮质类固醇停药、完全临床缓解和缓解的频率以及相关因素。
我们通过威布尔时间事件模型评估了 307 例 JDM 患者最终皮质类固醇停药、完全临床缓解和缓解的可能性;使用贝叶斯网络模型评估完全临床缓解和缓解的条件概率;并使用多变量马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗威布尔扩展模型评估显著预测因子。
105 例患者在初始治疗后 60 个月,皮质类固醇停药的概率为 56%,完全临床缓解的概率为 38%,缓解的概率为 30%。缓解的概率取决于皮质类固醇停药和完全临床缓解。光敏性、挛缩和完全临床缓解的时间较长是最终皮质类固醇停药时间的预测因素。抗 MJ(NXP2)自身抗体和西北居住地理气候带是达到完全临床缓解时间较短的预测因素,而发音困难、挛缩、24 个月内药物增加和皮质类固醇停药时间较长与达到完全临床缓解时间较长有关。抗 p155/140(TIF1)自身抗体、12-24 个月内药物增加或皮质类固醇停药和完全临床缓解时间较长与缓解时间较长有关。
JDM 患者可获得良好的结果,包括皮质类固醇停药、完全临床缓解和缓解,尽管基于时间依赖分析,这些结果可能需要数年时间才能实现。这些结果是相互关联的,并且彼此之间具有很强的预测性。一些临床特征和肌炎自身抗体也与这些结果相关。