Department of Anthropology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, USA.
Am J Hum Biol. 2021 Jul;33(4):e23527. doi: 10.1002/ajhb.23527. Epub 2020 Oct 26.
Climate change has long been recognized as a significant driver of dietary diversity and dietary quality. An often overlooked aspect of climate change are shifts in fire regimes, which have the potential to drastically affect landscape diversity, species distributions, and ultimately, human diets. Here, we investigate whether the fire regimes shaped by Indigenous Australians change landscape diversity in ways that improve dietary quality, considering both the diversity and the quantity of traditional foods in the diet.
We use structural equation modeling to explore two causal models of dietary quality, one focused on the direct effects of climate change and resource depression, the other incorporating the dietary effects of landscape diversity, itself a product of fire-created patchiness. We draw on a focal camp dataset covering 10 years of observations of Martu foraging income in the Western Desert of Australia.
We find strong support for the hypothesis that fire-created patchiness improves diet quality. Climate change (cumulative 2-year rainfall) has only an indirect effect on dietary quality; the availability of traditional foods is mediated primarily through the landscape diversity shaped by fire.
Our model suggests that the loss of the indigenous fire mosaic may lead to worsening availability of traditional foods, measured as both caloric intake and diet diversity. Because the effects of rainfall are mediated through landscape diversity, increased rainfall may not compensate for the recent changes in fire regimes resulting from the loss of Aboriginal fire from the landscape.
气候变化长期以来一直被认为是影响饮食多样性和饮食质量的重要因素。气候变化的一个常被忽视的方面是火灾发生频率的变化,它有可能极大地影响景观多样性、物种分布,最终影响人类饮食。在这里,我们研究了澳大利亚原住民所形成的火灾模式是否以改善饮食质量的方式改变了景观多样性,同时考虑了饮食中传统食物的多样性和数量。
我们使用结构方程模型来探讨两种饮食质量的因果模型,一种侧重于气候变化和资源减少的直接影响,另一种则将景观多样性对饮食的影响纳入其中,而景观多样性本身就是火灾造成的斑块化的产物。我们利用一个为期 10 年的澳大利亚西部沙漠 Martu 觅食收入的焦点营地数据集。
我们强烈支持火灾造成的斑块化会提高饮食质量的假设。气候变化(累计 2 年降雨量)对饮食质量只有间接影响;传统食物的可用性主要通过火灾形成的景观多样性来调节。
我们的模型表明,土著火镶嵌模式的丧失可能导致传统食物的可用性恶化,这可以通过热量摄入和饮食多样性来衡量。由于降雨量的影响是通过景观多样性来调节的,因此降雨量的增加可能无法弥补由于土著火从景观中消失而导致的最近火灾发生频率的变化。