Institute of Occupational, Social and Environmental Medicine, Goethe University Frankfurt, Germany.
J Glob Health. 2020 Dec;10(2):020508. doi: 10.7189/jogh.10.020508.
The currently prevailing global threat of COVID-19 caused the publication numbers on coronaviruses to explode. The awareness of the scientific and public community is enormous. But what about the sense of all these undertakings and what can be learned about the future for a better understanding? These questions were answered with established bibliometric analyses of the time until the avalanche of publications unfolded.
Chronological, geographical aspects of publication output on coronavirus were also evaluated under the influence of epidemiological and socio-economic parameters.
The trend in publication and citation numbers shows the strong influence of the past pandemics SARS and MERS with an untypical decline afterward. Research is becoming increasingly multidisciplinary over time. The USA and China, as the countries with the highest number of publications, are being displaced by other countries in the consideration of socio-economic and epidemiological aspects, which shows the effect of regional interest in corona research. A significant correlation was found between the number of SARS cases per country and related publications, while no correlation was found for MERS cases and articles.
The results underline the need for sustainable and forward-looking approaches that should not end with the containment of COVID-19.
当前全球 COVID-19 大流行的威胁导致冠状病毒相关出版物数量呈爆炸式增长。科学界和公众的关注度非常高。但是,对于所有这些研究的意义以及可以从中了解到哪些未来趋势以实现更好的理解?本研究通过对发表前时间的文献计量分析回答了这些问题。
还评估了冠状病毒出版物在时间和地理上的分布情况,以及流行病学和社会经济参数的影响。
发表数量和引用数量的趋势显示出过去 SARS 和 MERS 大流行的强烈影响,此后出现了不典型的下降。随着时间的推移,研究变得越来越多学科交叉。美国和中国作为发表论文数量最多的国家,在社会经济和流行病学方面的考虑因素上正逐渐被其他国家取代,这表明了对冠状病毒研究的区域兴趣的影响。国家 SARS 病例数与相关出版物之间存在显著相关性,而 MERS 病例数与文章数之间则无相关性。
这些结果强调了需要采取可持续和前瞻性的方法,这些方法不应随着 COVID-19 的控制而结束。