因 COVID-19 而死亡的人数使美国民众对各级联邦政府共和党人的支持率下降。
Fatalities from COVID-19 are reducing Americans' support for Republicans at every level of federal office.
机构信息
Department of Political Science, George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA.
Department of Political Science, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
出版信息
Sci Adv. 2020 Oct 30;6(44). doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abd8564. Print 2020 Oct.
Between early March and 1 August 2020, COVID-19 took the lives of more than 150,000 Americans. Here, we examine the political consequences of the COVID-19 epidemic using granular data on COVID-19 fatalities and the attitudes of the American public. We find that COVID-19 has led to substantial damage for President Trump and other Republican candidates. States and local areas with higher levels of COVID-19 fatalities are less likely to support President Trump and Republican candidates for House and Senate. Our results show that President Trump and other Republican candidates would benefit electorally from a reduction in COVID-19 fatalities. This implies that a greater emphasis on social distancing, masks, and other mitigation strategies would benefit the president and his allies.
2020 年 3 月初至 8 月 1 日期间，COVID-19 导致超过 15 万美国人死亡。在这里，我们使用 COVID-19 死亡数据和美国公众态度的详细数据来研究 COVID-19 疫情的政治后果。我们发现 COVID-19 对特朗普总统和其他共和党候选人造成了重大损害。COVID-19 死亡率较高的州和地方不太可能支持特朗普总统和共和党众议院和参议院候选人。我们的研究结果表明，COVID-19 死亡率的降低将使特朗普总统和其他共和党候选人在选举中受益。这意味着更加重视社交距离、口罩和其他缓解策略将使总统及其盟友受益。
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