Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, US Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA.
Acumen LLC, Burlingame, California, USA.
J Infect Dis. 2021 Feb 13;223(3):416-425. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiaa543.
The Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD) identified a statistical signal for an increased risk of Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) in days 1-42 after 2018-2019 high-dose influenza vaccine (IIV3-HD) administration. We evaluated the signal using Medicare.
We conducted early- and end-of-season claims-based self-controlled risk interval analyses among Medicare beneficiaries ages ≥65 years, using days 8-21 and 1-42 postvaccination as risk windows and days 43-84 as control window. The VSD conducted chart-confirmed analyses.
Among 7 453 690 IIV3-HD vaccinations, we did not detect a statistically significant increased GBS risk for either the 8- to 21-day (odds ratio [OR], 1.85; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.99-3.44) or 1- to 42-day (OR, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.78-2.18) risk windows. The findings from the end-of-season analyses were fully consistent with the early-season analyses for both the 8- to 21-day (OR, 1.64; 95% CI, 0.92-2.91) and 1- to 42-day (OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 0.70-1.79) risk windows. The VSD's chart-confirmed analysis, involving 646 996 IIV3-HD vaccinations, with 1 case each in the risk and control windows, yielded a relative risk of 1.00 (95% CI, 0.06-15.99).
The Medicare analyses did not exclude an association between IIV3-HD and GBS, but it determined that, if such a risk existed, it was similar in magnitude to prior seasons. Chart-confirmed VSD results did not confirm an increased risk of GBS.
疫苗安全数据链(VSD)在 2018-2019 年高剂量流感疫苗(IIV3-HD)接种后 1-42 天发现格林-巴利综合征(GBS)风险增加的统计学信号。我们使用医疗保险进行了信号评估。
我们对年龄≥65 岁的医疗保险受益人进行了基于早期和季节性结束时的索赔自我对照风险间隔分析,使用接种后 8-21 天和 1-42 天作为风险窗口,43-84 天作为对照窗口。VSD 进行了图表确认分析。
在 7453690 例 IIV3-HD 疫苗接种中,我们未发现 8-21 天(比值比 [OR],1.85;95%置信区间 [CI],0.99-3.44)或 1-42 天(OR,1.31;95% CI,0.78-2.18)风险窗口的 GBS 风险显著增加。对于 8-21 天(OR,1.64;95% CI,0.92-2.91)和 1-42 天(OR,1.12;95% CI,0.70-1.79)风险窗口,季节性结束时的分析结果与早期季节分析完全一致。涉及 646996 例 IIV3-HD 疫苗接种的 VSD 的图表确认分析,风险和对照窗口各有 1 例病例,得出的相对风险为 1.00(95%CI,0.06-15.99)。
医疗保险分析并未排除 IIV3-HD 与 GBS 之间的关联,但确定如果存在这种风险,其严重程度与以往季节相似。VSD 的图表确认结果并未证实 GBS 风险增加。