Division of Orthopedics, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, People's Republic of China.
Division of Statistics, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, People's Republic of China.
J Orthop Surg Res. 2020 Nov 2;15(1):503. doi: 10.1186/s13018-020-02034-5.
BACKGROUND: Although medical intervention of periprosthetic bone loss in the immediate postoperative period was recommended, not all the patients experienced periprosthetic bone loss after total hip arthroplasty (THA). Prediction tools that enrolled all potential risk factors to calculate an individualized prediction of postoperative periprosthetic bone loss were strongly needed for clinical decision-making. METHODS: Data of the patients who underwent primary unilateral cementless THA between April 2015 and October 2017 in our center were retrospectively collected. Candidate variables included demographic data and bone mineral density (BMD) in spine, hip, and periprosthetic regions that measured 1 week after THA. Outcomes of interest included the risk of postoperative periprosthetic bone loss in Gruen zone 1, 7, and total zones in the 1st postoperative year. Nomograms were presented based on multiple logistic regressions via R language. One thousand Bootstraps were used for internal validation. RESULTS: Five hundred sixty-three patients met the inclusion criteria were enrolled, and the final analysis was performed in 427 patients (195 male and 232 female) after the exclusion. The mean BMD of Gruen zone 1, 7, and total were decreased by 4.1%, 6.4%, and 1.7% at the 1st year after THA, respectively. 61.1% of the patients (261/427) experienced bone loss in Gruen zone 1 at the 1st postoperative year, while there were 58.1% (248/427) in Gruen zone 7 and 63.0% (269/427) in Gruen zone total. Bias-corrected C-index for risk of postoperative bone loss in Gruen zone 1, 7, and total zones in the 1 postoperative year were 0.700, 0.785, and 0.696, respectively. The most highly influential factors for the postoperative periprosthetic bone loss were primary diagnosis and BMD in the corresponding Gruen zones at the baseline. CONCLUSIONS: To the best of our knowledge, our study represented the first time to use the nomograms in estimating the risk of postoperative periprosthetic bone loss with adequate predictive discrimination and calibration. Those predictive models would help surgeons to identify high-risk patients who may benefit from anti-bone-resorptive treatment in the early postoperative period effectively. It is also beneficial for patients, as they can choose the treatment options based on a reasonable expectation following surgery.
背景:虽然建议对术后早期的假体周围骨丢失进行医学干预,但并非所有全髋关节置换术(THA)后患者都会出现假体周围骨丢失。因此,需要一种能够纳入所有潜在风险因素的预测工具,以便为临床决策提供个体化的术后假体周围骨丢失预测。
方法:回顾性收集了 2015 年 4 月至 2017 年 10 月期间在我院接受初次单侧非骨水泥 THA 的患者数据。候选变量包括术后 1 周时的人口统计学数据和脊柱、髋关节和假体周围区域的骨密度(BMD)。感兴趣的结局包括在第 1 年术后发生 Gruen 区 1、7 和总区的术后假体周围骨丢失的风险。通过 R 语言的多变量逻辑回归生成列线图。使用 1000 次 Bootstrap 进行内部验证。
结果:符合纳入标准的 563 例患者被纳入研究,排除后最终对 427 例患者(男 195 例,女 232 例)进行了分析。THA 后第 1 年,Gruen 区 1、7 和总区的平均 BMD 分别下降了 4.1%、6.4%和 1.7%。61.1%(261/427)的患者在第 1 次术后年度发生了 Gruen 区 1 的骨丢失,而在 Gruen 区 7 中有 58.1%(248/427),在 Gruen 区总区有 63.0%(269/427)。术后第 1 年预测 Gruen 区 1、7 和总区发生假体周围骨丢失的校正偏倚 C 指数分别为 0.700、0.785 和 0.696。术后假体周围骨丢失的最主要影响因素是基线时的原发性诊断和相应 Gruen 区的 BMD。
结论:据我们所知,本研究首次使用列线图来评估术后假体周围骨丢失的风险,具有足够的预测区分度和校准度。这些预测模型有助于外科医生有效识别术后早期可能受益于抗骨吸收治疗的高危患者。同时,这也有利于患者,因为他们可以根据手术后的合理预期选择治疗方案。
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