Department of Global Health, School of Health Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430071, China.
Environmental Health Laboratory, Department of Public Health Sciences, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Oct 30;17(21):8017. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17218017.
(1) Background: Inconsistencies were observed in studies on the relationship between short-term exposure to meteorological factors and the risk of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD). This systematic review and meta-analysis was aimed to assess the overall effects of meteorological factors on the incidence of HFMD to help clarify these inconsistencies and serve as a piece of evidence for policy makers to determine relevant risk factors. (2) Methods: Articles published as of 24 October 2020, were searched in the four databases, namely, PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and MEDLINE. We applied a meta-analysis to assess the impact of ambient temperature, relative humidity, rainfall, wind speed, and sunshine duration on the incidence of HFMD. We conducted subgroup analyses by exposure metrics, exposure time resolution, regional climate, national income level, gender, and age as a way to seek the source of heterogeneity. (3) Results: Screening by the given inclusion and exclusion criteria, a total of 28 studies were included in the analysis. We observed that the incidence of HFMD based on the single-day lag model is significantly associated with ambient temperature, relative humidity, rainfall, and wind speed. In the cumulative lag model, ambient temperature and relative humidity significantly increased the incidence of HFMD as well. Subgroup analysis showed that extremely high temperature and relative humidity significantly increased the risk of HFMD. Temperate regions, high-income countries, and children under five years old are major risk factors for HFMD. (4) Conclusions: Our results suggest that various meteorological factors can increase the incidence of HFMD. Therefore, the general public, especially susceptible populations, should pay close attention to weather changes and take protective measures in advance.
(1) 背景:短期暴露于气象因素与手足口病 (HFMD) 风险之间的关系的研究存在不一致性。本系统评价和荟萃分析旨在评估气象因素对 HFMD 发病率的总体影响,以帮助澄清这些不一致性,并为决策者确定相关风险因素提供依据。
(2) 方法:截至 2020 年 10 月 24 日,在四个数据库(PubMed、Web of Science、Embase 和 MEDLINE)中检索了已发表的文章。我们采用荟萃分析评估环境温度、相对湿度、降雨量、风速和日照时间对 HFMD 发病率的影响。我们通过暴露指标、暴露时间分辨率、区域气候、国民收入水平、性别和年龄进行了亚组分析,以寻找异质性的来源。
(3) 结果:根据给定的纳入和排除标准进行筛选后,共有 28 项研究纳入分析。我们观察到,基于单日滞后模型的 HFMD 发病率与环境温度、相对湿度、降雨量和风速显著相关。在累积滞后模型中,环境温度和相对湿度也显著增加了 HFMD 的发病率。亚组分析表明,极高的温度和相对湿度显著增加了 HFMD 的风险。温带地区、高收入国家和五岁以下儿童是 HFMD 的主要危险因素。
(4) 结论:我们的结果表明,各种气象因素均可增加 HFMD 的发病率。因此,公众,特别是易感人群,应密切关注天气变化并提前采取防护措施。