Causal reasoning in computer programs for medical diagnosis.

Over the last decade substantial advances have been made in the use of causal pathophysiological knowledge in artificial intelligence-based programs for medical diagnosis. Various forms of causal representations have been used. They include probabilistic models, quantitative models, qualitative models, and models that describe causal relations at multiple levels of detail. This paper briefly analyses these methods using three representative systems. Outstanding problems and possible direction in further exploitation of causal reasoning for medical decision-support systems are also discussed.