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术后辅助 TACE 相关列线图预测肝癌合并门静脉癌栓患者肝切除术后的预后。

Postoperative adjuvant TACE-associated nomogram for predicting the prognosis of resectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma with portal vein Tumor Thrombus after Liver Resection.

机构信息

The Third Department of Hepatic Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Navy Medical University, Shanghai 200438, China.

Changhai Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Navy Medical University, Shanghai 200438, China.

出版信息

Int J Biol Sci. 2020 Oct 23;16(16):3210-3220. doi: 10.7150/ijbs.46896. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

To explore the effects of postoperative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (PA-TACE) on the prognosis of HCC patients with Portal Vein Tumor Thrombus (PVTT) undergoing resection, and to develop a PA-TACE-related nomogram for predicting survival individually. Two hundred and ninety-three consecutive HCC patients with PVTT under R0 hepatectomy were recruited. Forty-seven cases had recurrence within one month after surgery. The remaining 246 cases consisted of 90 PA-TACE and 156 non-PA-TACE cases. COX regression analysis was performed for overall survival (OS) or recurrence-free survival (RFS) of these 246 cases, allowing the derivation of independent factors that were integrated into the nomogram. C-index, calibration curves, and risk stratification were performed to evaluate the performance and discriminative power of the nomograms. In 246 patients without recurrence within one month after surgery, the OS and RFS for the PA-TACE group were significantly better than those for the non-PA-TACE group (P<0.0001, P<0.0001, respectively). After Cox regression analysis of OS or RFS, PA-TACE-related nomogram models were constructed. The C-index of the PA-TACE-related nomogram for OS and RFS was 0.72 and 0.73, respectively. Calibration curves revealed a good agreement between predictions and observations for the nomograms. Based on the nomogram-related risk stratification, Kaplan-Meier curves showed powerful discriminative ability. PA-TACE therapy improved the survival of HCC patients with PVTT undergoing hepatectomy. Accurate nomogram models were developed for predicting the individual survival and recurrence of these patients.

摘要

探讨术后经肝动脉化疗栓塞术(PA-TACE)对接受切除术的伴有门静脉癌栓(PVTT)的 HCC 患者预后的影响,并为个体预测生存开发一个与 PA-TACE 相关的列线图。

共招募了 293 例接受 R0 肝切除术的伴有 PVTT 的 HCC 连续患者。47 例患者在手术后一个月内复发。其余 246 例患者包括 90 例 PA-TACE 和 156 例非 PA-TACE 病例。对这些 246 例患者的总生存(OS)或无复发生存(RFS)进行 COX 回归分析,允许得出独立因素,这些因素被整合到列线图中。C 指数、校准曲线和风险分层用于评估列线图的性能和区分能力。

在 246 例手术后一个月内无复发的患者中,PA-TACE 组的 OS 和 RFS 明显优于非 PA-TACE 组(P<0.0001,P<0.0001)。在 OS 或 RFS 的 Cox 回归分析后,构建了与 PA-TACE 相关的列线图模型。OS 和 RFS 的 PA-TACE 相关列线图的 C 指数分别为 0.72 和 0.73。校准曲线显示列线图预测与观察之间具有良好的一致性。基于列线图相关的风险分层,Kaplan-Meier 曲线显示出强大的区分能力。

PA-TACE 治疗改善了接受肝切除术的伴有 PVTT 的 HCC 患者的生存。为这些患者的个体生存和复发预测开发了准确的列线图模型。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6e71/7645989/9d296f9c3fdc/ijbsv16p3210g001.jpg

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