Department of Oncology, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Vall d'Hebron Institute of Oncology, Vall d'Hebron University Hospital, Barcelona, Spain.
J Thorac Oncol. 2021 Feb;16(2):278-288. doi: 10.1016/j.jtho.2020.10.129. Epub 2020 Nov 12.
The NICOLAS study is the first completed single-arm phase II trial in stage III NSCLC evaluating hierarchically first the safety and then the efficacy of adding nivolumab concurrently to standard definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy. The safety end point was reported earlier; here, we present the efficacy results.
Stage IIIA-B unresectable treatment-naive patients with NSCLC received three cycles of platinum-based chemotherapy and concurrent radiotherapy (66 Gy, 33 fractions), along with nivolumab (360 mg, 3-weekly). Nivolumab was continued as monotherapy consolidation for a maximum of 1 year (480 mg, 4-weekly). The primary end point was 1-year progression-free survival (PFS), with a target improvement compared with historical data of at least 15%, from 45% to 60%. To test this efficacy hypothesis, a sample size of 74 assessable patients provided a power of 83% with a one-sided alpha of 5%.
A total of 79 patients were enrolled with a median follow-up of 21.0 months (interquartile range: 15.8-25.8 mo) for the primary PFS analysis. A total of 35.4% of the patients had stage IIIA, and 63.3% had stage IIIB disease. The 1-year PFS was 53.7% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 42.0%-64.0%) and the median PFS was 12.7 months (95% CI: 10.1-22.8 mo). Because 37 PFS events occurred in the first year posttreatment among the first 74 assessable patients, a 1-year PFS rate of at least 45% could not be rejected (p = 0.23). At an extended follow-up (median 32.6 mo), 37 deaths have been recorded, with a median overall survival (OS) of 38.8 months (95% CI: 26.8 mo-not estimable) and a 2-year OS rate of 63.7% (95% CI: 51.9%-73.4%). The OS of patients with stage IIIA disease was found to be significantly higher than patients with stage IIIB disease, with a 2-year OS of 81% and 56%, respectively (p = 0.037).
PFS and OS are arithmetically higher in studies involving the same population. However, on the basis of the formal hierarchical efficacy analysis, we could not reject that the 1-year PFS rate is at least 45%.
NICOLAS 研究是首个在 III 期 NSCLC 中完成的单臂 II 期试验,该研究分层评估了纳武利尤单抗联合标准同步放化疗的安全性和有效性。安全性终点已于先前报告;在此,我们报告疗效结果。
未经治疗的 IIIA-B 期不可切除 NSCLC 患者接受三个周期的铂类为基础的化疗和同步放疗(66 Gy,33 次分割),同时接受纳武利尤单抗(360 mg,每 3 周一次)。纳武利尤单抗作为单药巩固治疗,最长可达 1 年(480 mg,每 4 周一次)。主要终点为 1 年无进展生存期(PFS),与历史数据相比,目标改善至少 15%,从 45%提高至 60%。为了验证这一疗效假设,在单侧 α 值为 5%的情况下,74 例可评估患者的样本量提供了 83%的效能。
共纳入 79 例患者,主要 PFS 分析的中位随访时间为 21.0 个月(四分位间距:15.8-25.8 mo)。35.4%的患者为 IIIA 期,63.3%的患者为 IIIB 期。1 年 PFS 为 53.7%(95%置信区间[CI]:42.0%-64.0%),中位 PFS 为 12.7 个月(95% CI:10.1-22.8 mo)。由于在 74 例可评估患者中的前 74 例中,有 37 例在治疗后 1 年内出现 PFS 事件,因此不能拒绝 1 年 PFS 率至少为 45%的假设(p=0.23)。在延长随访(中位 32.6 mo)期间,记录到 37 例死亡,总生存期(OS)为 38.8 个月(95% CI:26.8 mo-不可估计),2 年 OS 率为 63.7%(95% CI:51.9%-73.4%)。与 IIIB 期患者相比,III A 期患者的 OS 明显更高,2 年 OS 率分别为 81%和 56%(p=0.037)。
在涉及相同人群的研究中,PFS 和 OS 均在数值上更高。然而,根据正式的分层疗效分析,我们不能拒绝 1 年 PFS 率至少为 45%的假设。