Welsh Centre for Burns and Plastics Surgery, Morriston Hospital, Swansea, Wales, UK.
Welsh Centre for Burns and Plastics Surgery, Morriston Hospital, Swansea, Wales, UK.
J Plast Reconstr Aesthet Surg. 2021 Mar;74(3):644-710. doi: 10.1016/j.bjps.2020.10.087. Epub 2020 Nov 8.
The SARS-CoV-2 cornovirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has significantly affected referrals of new suspected cancers from primary care to specialist services in the National Health Service (NHS) across the UK. Amongst the many factors causing delay, such as fear and uncertainty about COVID-19 transmission, reluctance to seek medical attention for cancer sypmtoms and avoiding additional pressure on NHS services, we anticipate a surge in urgent skin cancer referrals to our plastic surgery service as we enter a post-COVID recovery phase. On the basis of previous referral data and statistical forecasting, we share our predicted numbers against our actual number of urgent skin cancer referrals for the COVID-19 period and, based on this analysis, encourage all cancer services to prepare and allocate resources appropriately for the busy months to follow.
SARS-CoV-2 冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行对英国国民保健制度(NHS)中初级保健向专科服务转诊新疑似癌症产生了重大影响。 在导致延迟的诸多因素中,例如对 COVID-19 传播的恐惧和不确定性、不愿意因癌症症状寻求医疗关注以及避免 NHS 服务的额外压力,我们预计随着我们进入 COVID-19 后恢复阶段,紧急皮肤癌转诊到我们的整形外科服务将会增加。 根据之前的转诊数据和统计预测,我们分享了 COVID-19 期间紧急皮肤癌转诊的预测数量与实际数量,并在此基础上,鼓励所有癌症服务机构为即将到来的繁忙月份做好准备并适当分配资源。