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致编辑的信,关于“福岛核事故后日本各都道府县低出生体重与 Cs-137 沉积的时空关联”。

Letter to the editor regarding "spatiotemporal association of low birth weight with Cs-137 deposition at the prefecture level in Japan after the Fukushima nuclear power plant accidents".

机构信息

Department of Health and Environmental Sciences, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine, Yoshida Konoe, Sakyo, Kyoto, 6068501, Japan.

Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Islam Indonesia, Yogyakarta, 55584, Indonesia.

出版信息

Environ Health. 2020 Nov 25;19(1):121. doi: 10.1186/s12940-020-00651-5.

Abstract

In the previous report, association between increased low birth weight prevalence and radiocesium deposition after 2011 Fukushima nuclear disaster was found. However, the statistical analyses therein raised several questions. First, ecological variables are not justified enough to adjust potential confounding. Second, the spatiotemporal regression model does not consider temporal reduction in radiation dose rate. Third, dose-response plot between dose rates and odds ratios overestimates R and underestimates p value.

摘要

在上一份报告中,发现了 2011 年福岛核灾难后低出生体重患病率增加与放射性铯沉积之间的关联。然而,其中的统计分析提出了几个问题。首先,生态变量不足以调整潜在的混杂因素。其次,时空回归模型没有考虑到辐射剂量率的时间减少。第三,剂量率与优势比之间的剂量反应图高估了 R 值并低估了 p 值。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1e3a/7687688/897fab9e4e09/12940_2020_651_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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