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对 Sani Rachman Soleman 等人的“致编辑的信”的回复,“福岛核事故后日本各都道府县 Cs-137 沉积与低出生体重的时空关联”。

Response to the "letter to the editor" by Sani Rachman Soleman et al., "spatiotemporal association of low birth weight with Cs-137 deposition at the prefecture level in Japan after the Fukushima nuclear power plant accidents".

机构信息

Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Computational Biology, Ingolstädter Landstr. 1, D-85764, Neuherberg, Germany.

Hayashi Children's Clinic, 4-6-11-1F Nagata, Joto-ku Osaka-Shi, Osaka, 536-0022, Japan.

出版信息

Environ Health. 2020 Nov 25;19(1):123. doi: 10.1186/s12940-020-00661-3.

DOI:10.1186/s12940-020-00661-3
PMID:33239051
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7687987/
Abstract

We thank Sani Rachman Soleman et al. for three specific points of criticism concerning our investigation of the ecological association between low birth weight (LBW) and radioactive contamination in Japan after the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP) accidents: 1. Ecological variables are not justified enough to adjust potential confounding. 2. The spatiotemporal regression model does not consider temporal reduction in radiation dose rate. 3. Dose-response plot between dose rates and odds ratios overestimates R and underestimates p-value. This criticism is a good starting point to explain some of the technical backgrounds of our approach in more detail.

摘要

我们感谢 Sani Rachman Soleman 等人对我们关于福岛第一核电站(FDNPP)事故后日本低出生体重(LBW)与放射性污染之间的生态关联的研究提出的三点具体批评:1. 生态变量不足以调整潜在的混杂因素。2. 时空回归模型没有考虑辐射剂量率的时间减少。3. 剂量率与优势比之间的剂量反应图高估了 R 值,低估了 p 值。这一批评为详细解释我们方法的一些技术背景提供了一个良好的起点。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de69/7687987/8690993c3391/12940_2020_661_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de69/7687987/8690993c3391/12940_2020_661_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de69/7687987/8690993c3391/12940_2020_661_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
Letter to the editor regarding "spatiotemporal association of low birth weight with Cs-137 deposition at the prefecture level in Japan after the Fukushima nuclear power plant accidents".致编辑的信,关于“福岛核事故后日本各都道府县低出生体重与 Cs-137 沉积的时空关联”。
Environ Health. 2020 Nov 25;19(1):121. doi: 10.1186/s12940-020-00651-5.
2
congenital malformation frequencies in children from the Bryansk region following the Chernobyl disaster (2000-2017).切尔诺贝利灾难后布良斯克地区儿童的先天性畸形发生率(2000 - 2017年)
Heliyon. 2020 Aug 17;6(8):e04616. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e04616. eCollection 2020 Aug.
3
Spatiotemporal association of low birth weight with Cs-137 deposition at the prefecture level in Japan after the Fukushima nuclear power plant accidents: an analytical-ecologic epidemiological study.
日本福岛核事故后县级水平 Cs-137 沉积与低出生体重的时空关联:分析-生态流行病学研究。
Environ Health. 2020 Jul 9;19(1):82. doi: 10.1186/s12940-020-00630-w.
4
Secondary sex ratio and trends in the associated gender-specific births near nuclear facilities in France and Germany: Update of birth counts.法国和德国核设施附近与性别相关的出生的次要性别比例和趋势:出生人数的更新。
Reprod Toxicol. 2019 Oct;89:159-167. doi: 10.1016/j.reprotox.2019.07.021. Epub 2019 Jul 25.
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Comment on 'Perinatal mortality after the Fukushima accident'.关于“福岛事故后的围产期死亡率”的评论
J Radiol Prot. 2019 Jun;39(2):647-649. doi: 10.1088/1361-6498/ab17fc. Epub 2019 May 24.
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Small head size and delayed body weight growth in wild Japanese monkey fetuses after the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster.福岛第一核灾难后野生日本猴胎儿头围较小且体重增长迟缓。
Sci Rep. 2017 Jun 14;7(1):3528. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-03866-8.
7
Increases in perinatal mortality in prefectures contaminated by the Fukushima nuclear power plant accident in Japan: A spatially stratified longitudinal study.日本福岛核电站事故污染地区围产期死亡率上升:一项空间分层纵向研究。
Medicine (Baltimore). 2016 Sep;95(38):e4958. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000004958.
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The Chernobyl accident, the male to female ratio at birth and birth rates.切尔诺贝利事故、出生时的男女比例及出生率。
Acta Medica (Hradec Kralove). 2014;57(2):62-7. doi: 10.14712/18059694.2014.41.
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Births and male:female birth ratio in Scandinavia and the United Kingdom after the Windscale fire of October 1957.1957年10月温德斯凯尔火灾后斯堪的纳维亚半岛和英国的出生情况及男女出生比例
Int J Risk Saf Med. 2014;26(1):45-53. doi: 10.3233/JRS-140607.
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Increased sex ratio in Russia and Cuba after Chernobyl: a radiological hypothesis.切尔诺贝利事件后俄罗斯和古巴的性别比例上升:一个放射学假说。
Environ Health. 2013 Aug 15;12:63. doi: 10.1186/1476-069X-12-63.