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亚洲盆地(土耳其)不同指数的干旱分析。

Drought analysis with different indices for the Asi Basin (Turkey).

机构信息

Department of Civil Engineering, Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Alanya, 07945, Turkey.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2020 Nov 26;10(1):20739. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-77827-z.

Abstract

Today, within the scope of planning, development and management of water resources affected adversely by climate change, the issue of minimization of the adverse effects of drought has become very important. In this study, drought risk analyses were performed using meteorological, hydrogeological and hydrological data of the Asi basin and as a result of the determination of different indices and indicators available in the literature. First, the missing data was completed by regional analyses. The DI (Deciles Index), SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index), SPEI (Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index) and SRI (Standardized Runoff Index) indices were described. Drought severity and magnitude were found according to these indices. Based on 1, 3, 6, 9, 12, 48-month recurrence intervals, analyses were made. Classification of droughts and their threshold values were determined. For some places, drought incidence rates were presented according to each index. The indices were compared, the correlation between them was examined and a common conclusion was reached. The drought severities, which has a precipitation area of 7800 m, were evaluated for certain recurrence intervals. For this purpose, based on meteorological, hydrological and hydrogeological data for the years between 1970 and 2016, DI, SPI, SPEI, and SRI indices were analyzed and compared.

摘要

如今,在规划、开发和管理受气候变化不利影响的水资源方面,将干旱的不利影响最小化的问题变得非常重要。在这项研究中,使用 Asi 流域的气象、水文地质和水文数据进行了干旱风险分析,并根据文献中提供的不同指数和指标进行了结果的确定。首先,通过区域分析来填补缺失的数据。描述了 DI(十分位数指数)、SPI(标准化降水指数)、SPEI(标准化降水蒸散指数)和 SRI(标准化径流指数)指数。根据这些指数,确定了干旱的严重程度和规模。基于 1、3、6、9、12、48 个月的重现期间隔进行了分析。确定了干旱的分类及其阈值。根据每个指数,为一些地方呈现了干旱的发生率。对这些指数进行了比较,检查了它们之间的相关性,并得出了一个共同的结论。对于一定重现期的降水面积为 7800m 的干旱严重程度进行了评估。为此,根据 1970 年至 2016 年的气象、水文和水文地质数据,对 DI、SPI、SPEI 和 SRI 指数进行了分析和比较。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/23fc/7693329/a97fa62fec63/41598_2020_77827_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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