农村老年人多病共存的流行状况及模式:AHSETS 研究的结果。

Prevalence and Patterns of Multimorbidity Among Rural Elderly: Findings of the AHSETS Study.

机构信息

Indian Council of Medical Research-Regional Medical Research Centre, Bhubaneswar, India.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2020 Nov 5;8:582663. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2020.582663. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

In India, the proportion of older population is projected to increase from 8% in 2015 to 19% in 2050 and a third of the country's population will be older adults by end of the century. Multimorbidity is common among the elderly and the prevalence increases with age. Chronic conditions are most often present as clusters and it's critical to explore the prevalent pattern of clustering for better public health strategies. A cross-sectional study was conducted among 725 rural older adults (>60 years) in Tigiria block of Odisha, India. Multimorbidity status was assessed using the prior validated MAQ-PC tool. Survey was conducted using android tablets installed with open data kit software. While Euclidean distances using K-means clustering algorithm were used to estimate the similarity or dissimilarity of observations. The optimum numbers of clusters were determined using silhouette method. Data were analyzed using multiple open source packages of R statistical programming software ver-3.6.3. The overall prevalence of multimorbidity was 48.8% of which dyads (25%) were the most common form, followed by triads (15.2%). The prevalence of multimorbidity was higher in females (50.4%) than males (47.4%). The optimal number of clusters was found to be 3. While arthritis alone was a separate cluster, hypertension and acid peptic disease were in another cluster and all the rest conditions were included in the third cluster. The cluster analysis to measure of proximity suggested arthritis, hypertension, and acid peptic disease are the diseases that occur mostly in isolation with the other chronic conditions in the rural elderly.

摘要

在印度,老年人口的比例预计将从 2015 年的 8%增加到 2050 年的 19%,到本世纪末,印度将有三分之一的人口是老年人。老年人中多病共存的现象很常见,且其患病率随着年龄的增长而增加。慢性病通常以簇的形式存在,因此探索常见的聚类模式对于制定更好的公共卫生策略至关重要。

在印度奥里萨邦蒂格里亚地区的一个农村地区,对 725 名(年龄>60 岁)老年人进行了横断面研究。使用先前验证的 MAQ-PC 工具评估多病共存状况。调查使用装有开放数据工具包软件的安卓平板电脑进行。使用欧几里得距离和 K-均值聚类算法来估计观察值的相似性或相异性。使用轮廓法确定最佳聚类数。使用 R 统计编程软件的多个开源包(版本 3.6.3)分析数据。

多病共存的总患病率为 48.8%,其中二元组(25%)是最常见的形式,其次是三元组(15.2%)。女性(50.4%)的多病共存患病率高于男性(47.4%)。最佳聚类数为 3。关节炎单独为一个聚类,高血压和消化性溃疡病为另一个聚类,其余所有疾病都包含在第三个聚类中。测量接近度的聚类分析表明,关节炎、高血压和消化性溃疡病是农村老年人中最常见的孤立性疾病。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/83c7/7676903/e1d3e1d84846/fpubh-08-582663-g0001.jpg

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