Department of Rheumatology, Clinical Research Center for Rheumatic Diseases, National Hospital Organization Kumamoto Saishun Medical Center, Kohshi, Kumamoto, Japan.
Department of Radiology, Clinical Research Center for Rheumatic Diseases, National Hospital Organization Kumamoto Saishun Medical Center, Kohshi, Kumamoto, Japan.
PLoS One. 2020 Dec 2;15(12):e0243110. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0243110. eCollection 2020.
The aim of this study was to compare long-term mortality following diagnosis of pulmonary nontuberculous mycobacterial (NTM) disease between patients with and without rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and to evaluate predictive factors for death outcomes.
We reviewed the electronic medical records of all patients who were newly diagnosed with pulmonary NTM disease at participating institutions between August 2009 and December 2018. Patients were followed until death, loss to follow-up, or the end of the study. Taking into consideration the presence of competing risks, we used the cumulative incidence function with Gray's test and Fine-Gray regression analysis for survival analysis.
A total of 225 patients (34 RA patients and 191 non-RA controls) were followed, with a mean time of 47.5 months. Death occurred in 35.3% of RA patients and 25.7% of non-RA patients. An exacerbation of pulmonary NTM disease represented the major cause of death. The estimated cumulative incidence of all-cause death at 5 years was 24% for RA patients and 23% for non-RA patients. For NTM-related death, the 5-year cumulative incidence rate was estimated to be 11% for RA patients and 18% for non-RA patients. Gray's test revealed that long-term mortality estimates were not significantly different between patient groups. Fine-Gray regression analysis showed that the predictive factors for NTM-related death were advanced age (adjusted hazards ratio 7.28 [95% confidence interval 2.91-18.20] for ≥80 years and 3.68 [1.46-9.26] for 70-80 years vs. <70 years), male sex (2.40 [1.29-4.45]), Mycobacterium abscessus complex (4.30 [1.46-12.69] vs. M. avium), and cavitary disease (4.08 [1.70-9.80]).
RA patients with pulmonary NTM disease were not at greater risk of long-term mortality compared with non-RA patients. Rather, advanced age, male sex, causative NTM species, and cavitary NTM disease should be considered when predicting the outcomes of RA patients with pulmonary NTM disease.
本研究旨在比较诊断为肺部非结核分枝杆菌(NTM)疾病的患者中伴有和不伴有类风湿关节炎(RA)患者的长期死亡率,并评估死亡结局的预测因素。
我们回顾了 2009 年 8 月至 2018 年 12 月期间在参与机构新诊断为肺部 NTM 疾病的所有患者的电子病历。患者随访至死亡、失访或研究结束。考虑到存在竞争风险,我们使用累积发生率函数和 Gray 检验以及 Fine-Gray 回归分析进行生存分析。
共纳入 225 例患者(34 例 RA 患者和 191 例非 RA 对照),平均随访时间为 47.5 个月。35.3%的 RA 患者和 25.7%的非 RA 患者死亡。肺部 NTM 疾病的恶化是主要死亡原因。5 年全因死亡的估计累积发生率为 RA 患者 24%,非 RA 患者 23%。对于与 NTM 相关的死亡,5 年累积发生率估计为 RA 患者 11%,非 RA 患者 18%。Gray 检验显示两组患者的长期死亡率估计无显著差异。Fine-Gray 回归分析显示,与 NTM 相关死亡的预测因素是高龄(≥80 岁调整后的危险比为 7.28[95%置信区间 2.91-18.20],70-80 岁为 3.68[1.46-9.26] vs. <70 岁)、男性(2.40[1.29-4.45])、脓肿分枝杆菌复合群(4.30[1.46-12.69] vs. 鸟分枝杆菌)和空洞性 NTM 疾病(4.08[1.70-9.80])。
与非 RA 患者相比,患有肺部 NTM 疾病的 RA 患者的长期死亡风险并无增加。相反,在预测患有肺部 NTM 疾病的 RA 患者的结局时,应考虑高龄、男性、病原体种类和空洞性 NTM 疾病。