Carrizales-Velazquez Carlos, Rudolf-Navarro Adolfo, Reyes-Ramírez Israel, Muñoz-Diosdado Alejandro, Guzmán-Vargas Lev, Angulo-Brown Fernando
Unidad Profesional Interdisciplinaria en Ingeniería y Tecnologías Avanzadas (UPIITA), Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Ciudad de México 07340, Mexico.
Departamento de Física, Escuela Superior de Física y Matemáticas, Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Ciudad de México 07738, Mexico.
Entropy (Basel). 2018 Dec 13;20(12):961. doi: 10.3390/e20120961.
By using earthquake catalogs, previous studies have reported evidence that some changes in the spatial and temporal organization of earthquake activity are observed before and after of a main shock. These previous studies have used different approaches for detecting clustering behavior and distance-events density in order to point out the asymmetric behavior of foreshocks and aftershocks. Here, we present a statistical analysis of the seismic activity related to the M w = 8.2 earthquake that occurred on 7 September 2017 in Mexico. First, we calculated the inter-event time and distance between successive events for the period 1 January 1998 until 20 October 2017 in a circular region centered at the epicenter of the M w = 8.2 EQ. Next, we introduced the concept of pseudo-velocity as the ratio between the inter-event distance and inter-event time. A sliding window is considered to estimate some statistical features of the pseudo-velocity sequence before the main shock. Specifically, we applied the multifractal method to detect changes in the spectrum of singularities for the period before the main event on 7 September. Our results point out that the multifractality associated with the pseudo-velocities exhibits noticeable changes in the characteristics of the spectra (more narrower) for approximately three years, from 2013 until 2016, which is preceded and followed by periods with wider spectra. On the other hand, we present an analysis of patterns of seismic quiescence before the M w = 8.2 earthquake based on the Schreider algorithm over a period of 27 years. We report the existence of an important period of seismic quietude, for six to seven years, from 2008 to 2015 approximately, known as the alpha stage, and a beta stage of resumption of seismic activity, with a duration of approximately three years until the occurrence of the great earthquake of magnitude M w = 8.2 . Our results are in general concordance with previous results reported for statistics based on magnitude temporal sequences.
通过使用地震目录,先前的研究报告了一些证据,表明在主震前后观测到了地震活动在时空组织上的某些变化。这些先前的研究采用了不同的方法来检测聚类行为和震距事件密度,以指出前震和余震的不对称行为。在此,我们对2017年9月7日发生在墨西哥的Mw = 8.2级地震相关的地震活动进行了统计分析。首先,我们计算了以Mw = 8.2级地震震中为中心的圆形区域内,1998年1月1日至2017年10月20日期间连续事件之间的事件间隔时间和距离。接下来,我们引入了伪速度的概念,即事件间隔距离与事件间隔时间的比值。考虑使用滑动窗口来估计主震前伪速度序列的一些统计特征。具体而言,我们应用多重分形方法来检测9月7日主震前一段时间内奇异谱的变化。我们的结果指出,与伪速度相关的多重分形性在谱特征(更窄)上表现出明显变化,大约持续三年,从2013年到2016年,在此之前和之后谱更宽。另一方面,我们基于施赖德算法对27年期间Mw = 8.2级地震前的地震平静模式进行了分析。我们报告了大约从2008年到2015年存在一个重要的地震平静期,持续六到七年,称为α阶段,以及一个地震活动恢复的β阶段,持续约三年,直到Mw = 8.2级大地震发生。我们的结果总体上与先前基于震级时间序列的统计结果一致。