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一种基于CT特征的多分类评分系统用于胃胃肠道间质瘤的术前预测。

A multi-class scoring system based on CT features for preoperative prediction in gastric gastrointestinal stromal tumors.

作者信息

Xu Jianxia, Zhou Jiaping, Wang Xiaojie, Fan Shufeng, Huang Xiaoshan, Xie Xingwu, Yu Risheng

机构信息

Department of Radiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University 318 Chaowang Road, Hangzhou 310005, Zhejiang Province, China.

Department of Radiology, Second Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University 88 Jiefang Road, Hangzhou 310009, Zhejiang Province, China.

出版信息

Am J Cancer Res. 2020 Nov 1;10(11):3867-3881. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

Our study aimed to establish and validate a multi-class scoring system for preoperative gastric gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) risk stratifications based on CT features. 150 gastric GIST patients who underwent contrast-enhanced CT examination and surgical resection from hospital 1 were retrospectively analyzed as the training cohort, and 61 patients from hospitals 2 and 3 were included as the validation cohort. A model was established by logistic regression analysis and weighted to be a scoring model. A calibration test, area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), and cutoff points were determined for the score model. The model was also divided into three score ranges for convenient clinical evaluation. Five CT features were included in the score model, including tumor size (4 points), ill-defined margin (6 points), intratumoral enlarged vessels (5 points), heterogeneous enhancement pattern (4 points), and exophytic or mixed growth pattern (2 points). Then, based on the calibration results, performance was merely assessed as very low and high* risk. The AUCs of the score model for very low risk and high* risk were 0.973 and 0.977, and the cutoff points were 3 points (97.30%, 93.81%) and 7 points (92.19%, 94.19%), respectively. In the validation cohort, the AUCs were 0.912 and 0.972, and the cutoff values were 3 points (92.31%, 85.42%) and 5 points (100%, 87.88%), respectively. The model was stratified into 3 ranges: 0-3 points for very low risk, 4-8 points for low risk, and 9-21 points for high* risk. A concise and practical score system for gastric GISTs risk stratification was proposed.

摘要

我们的研究旨在基于CT特征建立并验证一种用于术前胃胃肠道间质瘤(GISTs)风险分层的多分类评分系统。对来自医院1的150例接受增强CT检查和手术切除的胃GIST患者进行回顾性分析作为训练队列,来自医院2和3的61例患者作为验证队列。通过逻辑回归分析建立模型并加权成为评分模型。对评分模型进行校准测试、计算受试者操作特征曲线(ROC)下面积(AUC)并确定截断点。该模型还分为三个评分范围以便于临床评估。评分模型纳入了五个CT特征,包括肿瘤大小(4分)、边界不清(6分)、瘤内血管增粗(5分)、不均匀强化模式(4分)和外生性或混合性生长模式(2分)。然后,根据校准结果,仅将性能评估为极低和高风险。极低风险和高风险评分模型的AUC分别为0.973和0.977,截断点分别为3分(97.30%,93.81%)和7分(92.19%,94.19%)。在验证队列中,AUC分别为0.912和0.972,截断值分别为3分(92.31%,85.42%)和5分(100%,87.88%)。该模型分为三个范围:极低风险为0 - 3分,低风险为4 - 8分,高*风险为9 - 21分。提出了一种简洁实用的胃GISTs风险分层评分系统。

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