Kleinmuntz B, Elstein A S
Department of Psychology, Center for Educational Development, University of Illinois, Chicago.
Crit Rev Med Inform. 1987;1(3):209-28.
Four main developments leading to computer modeling of clinical judgment are described in this paper. These include information processing psychology, clinical vs. statistical prediction studies, behavioral decision theory, and Bayesian decision analysis approaches. One clear catalyst in these developments has been the computer, which has been used as an information management tool rather than a data-processing device. Future directions of these efforts are delineated, and problems as well as prospects of computerizing clinical judgment are described.
本文描述了导致临床判断计算机建模的四个主要发展。这些包括信息处理心理学、临床与统计预测研究、行为决策理论和贝叶斯决策分析方法。这些发展中一个明显的催化剂是计算机，它一直被用作信息管理工具而非数据处理设备。阐述了这些努力的未来方向，并描述了临床判断计算机化的问题与前景。
