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基于埃及人样本的蝶枕结合部骨化的 CT 分析在年龄估计中的应用。

A Computed Tomographic Analysis of Spheno-Occipital Synchondrosis Ossification for Age Estimation in a Sample of Egyptians.

机构信息

From the Forensic Medicine and Clinical Toxicology, Faculty of Medicine.

Department of Radio-diagnosis and Intervention, Faculty of Medicine, University of Alexandria, Alexandria, Egypt.

出版信息

Am J Forensic Med Pathol. 2021 Sep 1;42(3):235-242. doi: 10.1097/PAF.0000000000000645.

Abstract

The aim of the present work was to create statistically quantified age estimation standards based on spheno-occipital synchondrosis (SOS) fusion state as visualized in computed tomography in Egyptians. The study included 208 Egyptians between the ages of 5 and 30 years (117 male and 90 female participants). Spheno-occipital synchondrosis was visualized in a midsagittal view in a neutral head position. Degree of ossification of SOS was assessed using a 4-stage system. Interobserver agreement and intraobserver agreement were almost perfect with Cohen κ values of 0.863 and 0.983, respectively. The mean ages of complete fusion (stage 3) were 20.36 ± 3.11 and 20.94 ± 4.06 years in male and female participants, respectively. Nonfusion (stage 0) was observed up to 15 and 13 years in male and female participants, respectively. Complete fusion occurred as early as 15 and 13 years in male and female participants, respectively. All subjects with nonfused SOS were minors (<18 years). A total of 87.9% of male participants and 85.3% of female participants with completely fused SOS were legally adults (≥18 years). Significant regression models were formulated to predict age from SOS fusion stage (adjusted R2 = 0.779 for male participants and 0.780 for female participants). Regression models predicted that male and female participants 18 years or older with 96.30% and 95.59% accuracy, respectively.

摘要

本研究旨在建立基于埃及人 CT 中观察到的蝶枕结合(SOS)融合状态的统计学定量年龄估计标准。该研究纳入了 208 名 5 至 30 岁的埃及人(117 名男性和 90 名女性参与者)。在中立头位的正中矢状位观察蝶枕结合。采用 4 期系统评估 SOS 的骨化程度。观察者间和观察者内的一致性几乎完美,Cohen κ 值分别为 0.863 和 0.983。完全融合(第 3 期)的平均年龄分别为男性和女性参与者 20.36 ± 3.11 岁和 20.94 ± 4.06 岁。男性和女性参与者分别观察到至 15 岁和 13 岁的未融合(第 0 期)。完全融合分别发生在男性和女性参与者的 15 岁和 13 岁。所有未融合 SOS 的受试者均为未成年人(<18 岁)。完全融合 SOS 的男性参与者和女性参与者中,分别有 87.9%和 85.3%达到法定成年年龄(≥18 岁)。制定了从 SOS 融合阶段预测年龄的显著回归模型(男性参与者的调整 R2 = 0.779,女性参与者的调整 R2 = 0.780)。回归模型预测 18 岁或以上的男性和女性参与者的准确率分别为 96.30%和 95.59%。

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