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本文引用的文献

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HealtheDataLab - a cloud computing solution for data science and advanced analytics in healthcare with application to predicting multi-center pediatric readmissions.HealtheDataLab- 一个针对医疗保健领域的数据科学和高级分析的云计算解决方案,应用于预测多中心儿科再入院率。
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2020 Jun 19;20(1):115. doi: 10.1186/s12911-020-01153-7.
2
A Statistical-Learning Model for Unplanned 7-Day Readmission in Pediatrics.儿科患者非计划性 7 天内再入院的统计学习模型。
Hosp Pediatr. 2020 Jan;10(1):43-51. doi: 10.1542/hpeds.2019-0122. Epub 2019 Dec 6.
3
Characteristics and predictors of 7- and 30-day hospital readmissions to pediatric neurology.儿科神经科 7 天和 30 天再入院的特征和预测因素。
Neurology. 2019 Apr 16;92(16):e1926-e1932. doi: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000007280. Epub 2019 Mar 20.
4
Developing Prediction Models for 30-Day Unplanned Readmission Among Children With Medical Complexity.为患有复杂疾病的儿童开发30天非计划再入院预测模型。
Hosp Pediatr. 2019 Mar;9(3):201-208. doi: 10.1542/hpeds.2018-0174.
5
A Novel Model for Enhanced Prediction and Understanding of Unplanned 30-Day Pediatric Readmission.一种用于增强对儿童计划外30天再入院的预测和理解的新型模型。
Hosp Pediatr. 2018 Sep;8(9):578-587. doi: 10.1542/hpeds.2017-0220. Epub 2018 Aug 9.
6
National characteristics and predictors of neurologic 30-day readmissions.国家特征与神经科 30 天再入院的预测因素。
Neurology. 2016 Feb 16;86(7):669-75. doi: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000002379. Epub 2016 Jan 20.
7
A requirement to reduce readmissions: take care of the patient, not just the disease.减少再入院率的一项要求:关注患者本身,而非仅仅关注疾病。
JAMA. 2013 Jan 23;309(4):394-6. doi: 10.1001/jama.2012.233964.
8
Pediatric readmission prevalence and variability across hospitals.儿科患者再入院率及其在各医院间的差异。
JAMA. 2013 Jan 23;309(4):372-80. doi: 10.1001/jama.2012.188351.
9
Patterns and costs of health care use of children with medical complexity.儿童医疗复杂性患者的医疗保健使用模式和费用。
Pediatrics. 2012 Dec;130(6):e1463-70. doi: 10.1542/peds.2012-0175. Epub 2012 Nov 26.
10
Hospital readmissions and the Affordable Care Act: paying for coordinated quality care.医院再入院与《平价医疗法案》:为协调的优质护理付费。
JAMA. 2011 Oct 26;306(16):1794-5. doi: 10.1001/jama.2011.1561.

预测神经疾病患儿再入院的因素。

Predictors of pediatric readmissions among patients with neurological conditions.

机构信息

Sharon Disney Lund Medical Intelligence and Innovation Institute (MI3) at CHOC, Orange, California, USA.

Children's Hospital of Orange County (CHOC), Orange, California, USA.

出版信息

BMC Neurol. 2021 Jan 5;21(1):5. doi: 10.1186/s12883-020-02028-0.

DOI:10.1186/s12883-020-02028-0
PMID:33402138
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7784269/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Unplanned readmission is one of many measures of the quality of care of pediatric patients with neurological conditions. In this multicenter study, we searched for novel risk factors of readmission of patients with neurological conditions.

METHODS

We retrieved hospitalization data of patients less than 18 years with one or more neurological conditions. This resulted in a total of 105,834 encounters from 18 hospitals. We included data on patient demographics, prior healthcare resource utilization, neurological conditions, number of other conditions/diagnoses, number of medications, and number of surgical procedures performed. We developed a random intercept logistic regression model using stepwise minimization of Akaike Information Criteria for variable selection.

RESULTS

The most important neurological conditions associated with unplanned pediatric readmissions include hydrocephalus, inflammatory diseases of the central nervous system, sleep disorders, disease of myoneural junction and muscle, other central nervous system disorder, other spinal cord conditions (such as vascular myelopathies, and cord compression), and nerve, nerve root and plexus disorders. Current and prior healthcare resource utilization variables, number of medications, other diagnoses, and certain inpatient surgical procedures were associated with changes in odds of readmission. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) on the independent test set is 0.733 (0.722, 0.743).

CONCLUSIONS

Pediatric patients with certain neurological conditions are more likely to be readmitted than others. However, current and prior healthcare resource utilization remain some of the strongest indicators of readmission within this population as in the general pediatric population.

摘要

背景

计划外再入院是衡量儿科神经科患者护理质量的众多指标之一。在这项多中心研究中,我们寻找了导致神经科疾病患者再入院的新的危险因素。

方法

我们检索了 18 家医院年龄小于 18 岁、患有一种或多种神经科疾病的患者的住院数据。这总计产生了 105834 例就诊记录。我们纳入了患者人口统计学资料、先前的医疗资源利用情况、神经科疾病、其他疾病/诊断数量、药物种类和手术操作数量的数据。我们使用逐步最小化赤池信息量准则(Akaike Information Criterion)的随机截距逻辑回归模型进行变量选择。

结果

与计划外儿科再入院最相关的重要神经科疾病包括脑积水、中枢神经系统炎症性疾病、睡眠障碍、神经肌肉接头和肌肉疾病、其他中枢神经系统疾病、其他脊髓疾病(如血管性脊髓病和脊髓压迫)、以及神经、神经根和神经丛疾病。当前和先前的医疗资源利用变量、药物种类、其他诊断和某些住院手术操作与再入院几率的变化相关。独立测试集上的受试者工作特征曲线(receiver operating characteristic curve,ROC)下面积(area under the receiver operating characteristic curve,AUROC)为 0.733(0.722,0.743)。

结论

某些神经科疾病的儿科患者比其他患者更有可能再入院。然而,在这个人群中,如同一般儿科人群一样,当前和先前的医疗资源利用情况仍然是再入院的最强预测指标之一。