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预测老年肺癌切除患者预后的术前评分比较。

Comparison of preoperative scores predicting outcome in elderly undergoing lung malignancies resection.

作者信息

Vaz Souza Rita, Bassi Massimiliano, Mantovani Sara, Poggi Camilla, Diso Daniele, Vannucci Jacopo, Pagini Andreina, Amore Davide, Venuta Federico, Anile Marco

机构信息

Department of Thoracic Surgery, University of Rome Sapienza, Rome, Italy.

出版信息

J Thorac Dis. 2020 Dec;12(12):7083-7088. doi: 10.21037/jtd-20-1622.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Increased age of cancer patients is not an absolute contraindication to pulmonary resection. Different scores have been developed to determine the risk of morbidity and mortality. We have compared four scores in a series of elderly patients with primary or metastatic lung neoplasms who underwent pulmonary resection.

METHODS

Data from 150 patients with an age equal or more than 75 years were reviewed. Mean age was 78.3 (range, 75-86) years. Based on medical history and preoperative tests 4 predicting scores were calculated. Statistical analysis was performed to identify which score correlates better with postoperative morbidity and mortality.

RESULTS

Mortality at 30 days was observed in 3 patients (2%). Postoperative morbidity was observed in 38 patients (25.3%). Univariate analysis showed that risk factors significantly predicting the onset of postoperative complications were type of resection (P=0.02), American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) score (P<0.001) and Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) (P=0.02). At multivariate analysis smoking and type of resection were significant prognostic factors for both overall and pulmonary morbidity; the ASA score and GPS showed an impact only on overall morbidity. The Cox regression showed significant results for GPS greater than zero and cancer-related death. Age above 80 years was not a negative prognostic factor. A significant difference in terms of 1-year survival was noted in ASA I-II ASA III-IV (90% 78%; P=0.022) and GPS 0 GPS 1 or 2 (90% 77%; P=0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Prognostic scores are useful to predict postoperative morbidity and mortality and GPS seems to correlate better with them.

摘要

背景

癌症患者年龄增加并非肺切除的绝对禁忌证。已开发出不同的评分系统来确定发病和死亡风险。我们在一系列接受肺切除的老年原发性或转移性肺肿瘤患者中比较了四种评分系统。

方法

回顾了150例年龄等于或大于75岁患者的数据。平均年龄为78.3岁(范围75 - 86岁)。根据病史和术前检查计算了4种预测评分。进行统计分析以确定哪种评分与术后发病和死亡率的相关性更好。

结果

3例患者(2%)在30天内死亡。38例患者(25.3%)出现术后并发症。单因素分析显示,显著预测术后并发症发生的危险因素是切除类型(P = 0.02)、美国麻醉医师协会(ASA)评分(P < 0.001)和格拉斯哥预后评分(GPS)(P = 0.02)。多因素分析显示,吸烟和切除类型是总体和肺部发病的显著预后因素;ASA评分和GPS仅对总体发病有影响。Cox回归显示GPS大于零和癌症相关死亡有显著结果。80岁以上年龄不是负面预后因素。ASA I-II级与ASA III-IV级(90%对78%;P = 0.022)以及GPS 0与GPS 1或2(90%对77%;P = 0.02)在1年生存率方面存在显著差异。

结论

预后评分有助于预测术后发病和死亡率,且GPS似乎与它们的相关性更好。

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