King Timothy, Koutmos Dimitrios
University of Kent, Canterbury, Kent, CT2 7NZ UK.
Texas A&M University - Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi, TX 78412 USA.
Ann Oper Res. 2021;300(1):79-96. doi: 10.1007/s10479-020-03874-4. Epub 2021 Jan 13.
This paper examines the extent to which herding and feedback trading behaviors drive price dynamics across nine major cryptocurrencies. Using sample price data from bitcoin, ethereum, XRP, bitcoin cash, EOS, litecoin, stellar, cardano and IOTA, respectively, we document heterogeneity in the types of feedback trading strategies investors utilize across markets. Whereas some cryptocurrency markets show evidence of herding, or, 'trend chasing', behaviors, in other markets we show evidence of contrarian-type behaviors. These findings are important because they elucidate upon, firstly, what forces drive cryptocurrency markets and, secondly, how this type of trading behavior affects autocorrelation patters for cryptocurrencies. Finally, and from our intertemporal asset pricing model, we shed new light on the observed nature of the risk-return tradeoffs for each of our sampled cryptocurrencies.
本文研究了羊群行为和反馈交易行为在多大程度上推动了九种主要加密货币的价格动态。我们分别使用比特币、以太坊、瑞波币、比特币现金、柚子币、莱特币、恒星币、卡尔达诺和艾欧塔的样本价格数据,记录了投资者在不同市场使用的反馈交易策略类型的异质性。虽然一些加密货币市场显示出羊群行为或“趋势追逐”行为的证据,但在其他市场,我们发现了反向交易行为的证据。这些发现很重要,因为它们首先阐明了推动加密货币市场的力量,其次阐明了这种交易行为如何影响加密货币的自相关模式。最后,从我们的跨期资产定价模型来看,我们对所采样的每种加密货币的风险回报权衡的观察性质有了新的认识。