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树木生长对气候的敏感性是随时间变化的。

Tree growth sensitivity to climate is temporally variable.

机构信息

Center for Ecosystem Science and Society, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, Arizona, USA.

School of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, Arizona, USA.

出版信息

Ecol Lett. 2020 Nov;23(11):1561-1572. doi: 10.1111/ele.13575. Epub 2020 Aug 17.

Abstract

Despite a long history of discussion of 'non-stationarity' in dendrochronology, researchers and modellers in diverse fields commonly rely on the implicit assumption that tree growth responds to climate drivers in the same way at any given time. Synthesising recent work on drought legacies and other climate-related phenomena, we show tree growth responses to climate are temporally variable, and that abrupt variability is commonly observed in response to diverse events. Thus, we put forth a 'growth-climate sensitivity' framework for understanding temporal variability (including non-stationarity) in the sensitivity of tree growth to climate. We argue that temporal variability is ubiquitous, illustrating limits to the ways in which tree growth is often conceptualised. We present two conceptual hypotheses (homoeostatic sensitivity and dynamic sensitivity) for how tree growth sensitivity to climate varies, and evaluate the evidence for each. In doing so, we hope to motivate increased investigation of the temporal variability in tree growth through innovative disturbance or drought experiments, particularly via the inclusion of recovery treatments. Focusing on growth-climate sensitivity and its temporal variability can improve prediction of the future states and functioning of trees under climate change, and has the potential to be incorporable into predictive dynamic vegetation models.

摘要

尽管树木年代学中长时间讨论了“非平稳性”,但不同领域的研究人员和建模者通常基于一个隐含的假设,即在任何给定时间,树木生长对气候驱动因素的反应方式都是相同的。综合最近关于干旱遗留效应和其他与气候相关现象的研究工作,我们表明,树木生长对气候的响应具有时间变异性,并且通常可以观察到对各种事件的突然变化。因此,我们提出了一个“生长-气候敏感性”框架,用于理解树木生长对气候敏感性的时间变异性(包括非平稳性)。我们认为时间变异性是普遍存在的,这说明了树木生长的概念化方式存在局限性。我们提出了两个关于树木生长对气候敏感性变化的概念性假设(同型敏感性和动态敏感性),并评估了每种假设的证据。通过这样做,我们希望通过创新的干扰或干旱实验,特别是通过纳入恢复处理,来激发对树木生长时间变异性的更多研究。关注生长-气候敏感性及其时间变异性,可以提高对树木在气候变化下未来状态和功能的预测能力,并且有可能被纳入预测性动态植被模型中。

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