Development and Validation of Multivariate Models Integrating Preoperative Clinicopathological Parameters and Radiographic Findings Based on Late Arterial Phase CT Images for Predicting Lymph Node Metastasis in Gastric Cancer.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate multivariate models integrating endoscopic biopsy, tumor markers, computed tomography (CT) morphological characteristics based on late arterial phase (LAP), and CT value-related and texture parameters to predict lymph node (LN) metastasis in gastric cancers (GCs).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The preoperative differentiation degree based on biopsy, 6 tumor markers, 8 CT morphological characteristics based on LAP, 18 CT value-related parameters, and 35 CT texture parameters of 163 patients (111 men and 52 women) with GC were analyzed retrospectively. The differences in parameters between N (-) and N (+) GCs were analyzed by the Mann-Whitney U test. Diagnostic performance was obtained by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Multivariate models based on regression analysis and machine learning algorithms were performed to improve diagnostic efficacy.

RESULTS

The differentiation degree, carbohydrate antigen (CA) 199 and CA242, 5 CT morphological characteristics, and 22 CT texture parameters showed significant differences between N (-) and N (+) GCs in the primary cohort (all p < 0.05). The multivariate model integrating clinicopathological parameters and radiographic findings based on regression analysis achieved areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) of 0.936 and 0.912 in the primary and validation cohorts, respectively. The model generated by the support vector machine algorithm achieved AUCs of 0.914 and 0.948, respectively.

CONCLUSION

We developed and validated multivariate models integrating endoscopic biopsy, tumor markers, CT morphological characteristics based on LAP, and CT texture parameters to predict LN metastasis in GCs and achieved satisfactory performance.